PL: City, Liverpool, Arsenal, Aston Villa, and Spurs qualify for CL (41%)
City, Liverpool, Arsenal, Aston Villa, and Spurs are favourites to reach Champions League. That combination end up in CL in 41% of the simulations. See alternativ outcomes at the bottom.
Hot Teams
Wolves: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 3.9 more than expected
Bournemouth: 9 points in the last 5 matches, 3.4 more than expected
Chelsea: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 3.1 more than expected
West Ham: 11 points in the last 5 matches, 3.1 more than expected
Luton: 7 points in the last 5 matches, 2.3 more than expected
Cold Teams
Brentford: 3 points in the last 5 matches, 4.7 less than expected
Newcastle: 3 points in the last 5 matches, 4.4 less than expected
Fulham: 3 points in the last 5 matches, 2.6 less than expected
Arsenal: 7 points in the last 5 matches, 2.1 less than expected
Sheffield United: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 1.7 less than expected
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| Average Simulated
Season | Probabilities |
| Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League | ECL | EL | CL |
| 43 | Man City | 82.9 | +51 | < 1% | >99.99% | >99.99% | 99.97% | 99.65% | 60% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.94% |
| 48 | Liverpool | 80.6 | +44 | < 1% | >99.99% | 99.99% | 99.88% | 98.9% | 33% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.77% |
| 43 | Arsenal | 74.1 | +34 | < 1% | 99.83% | 99.35% | 97.4% | 88% | 4.8% | < 1% | 3.5% | 96.1% |
| 43 | Aston Villa | 71.1 | +23 | < 1% | 99.08% | 97.2% | 91% | 70% | 1.5% | < 1% | 11% | 88% |
| 40 | Tottenham | 67.0 | +19 | < 1% | 95.5% | 89% | 74% | 34% | < 1% | 3.1% | 26% | 67% |
| 35 | West Ham | 60.5 | +6 | < 1% | 67% | 46% | 18% | 5% | < 1% | 11% | 38% | 23% |
| 29 | Brighton | 56.9 | +9 | < 1% | 42% | 23% | 8% | 1.7% | < 1% | 11% | 28% | 16% |
| 32 | Man United | 56.0 | -4 | < 1% | 31% | 15% | 4.1% | < 1% | < 1% | 12% | 26% | 3.5% |
| 29 | Newcastle | 55.2 | +13 | < 1% | 31% | 15% | 4.4% | < 1% | < 1% | 12% | 23% | 3.8% |
| 31 | Chelsea | 54.1 | +3 | < 1% | 22% | 10% | 2.4% | < 1% | < 1% | 28% | 19% | 2.1% |
| 29 | Wolves | 51.3 | -4 | < 1% | 9% | 3.3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 6% | 8% | < 1% |
| 22 | Bournemouth | 46.2 | -17 | 1.6% | 1.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.4% | 4.4% | < 1% |
| 24 | Fulham | 44.6 | -13 | 2.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 9% | 1.1% | < 1% |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 44.3 | -13 | 2.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 22 | Brentford | 44.3 | -10 | 2.4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 20 | Forest | 38.2 | -21 | 19% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.7% | < 1% |
| 17 | Everton | 37.9 | -9 | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2.6% | < 1% |
| 16 | Luton | 32.2 | -30 | 70% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 12 | Burnley | 29.0 | -33 | 87% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 10 | Sheffield United | 24.2 | -50 | 97.9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Titles
| Team | One Title | Two titles | Three titles | Four titles | Double | Treble | Quadruple |
| Man City | 81% | 36% | 6% |
| 16% | 6% |
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| Liverpool | 88% | 51% | 16% | 1.9% | 10% |
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| Arsenal | 14% | < 1% |
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| Aston Villa | 40% | 3.0% | < 1% |
| < 1% |
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| Tottenham | 4.8% | < 1% |
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| < 1% |
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| West Ham | 9% | < 1% |
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| Brighton | 14% | < 1% | < 1% |
| < 1% |
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| Man United | 4.9% | < 1% |
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| < 1% |
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| Newcastle | 1.9% |
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| Chelsea | 27% | < 1% | < 1% |
| < 1% |
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| Wolves | 2.0% |
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| Bournemouth | 3.3% |
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| Fulham | 9% | < 1% |
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| Forest | 1.7% |
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| Everton | 2.6% |
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| Luton | < 1% |
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| Sheffield United | < 1% |
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Important matches for title race
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| Liverpool vs Chelsea (2.3%) | Home Win (67%) | Draw (19%) | Away Win (15%) |
| Liverpool | 38% | 27% | 22% |
| Man City | 57% | 65% | 69% |
| Man City | Liverpool | Arsenal | Aston Villa |
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 93 | 1.5% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 92 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 99.5% | 1.2% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 91 | 4.8% | 1.8% | 99.2% | 2.1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 90 | 8% | 3.2% | 98.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 94% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 89 | 12% | 4.0% | 96.8% | 5% | 2.1% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% |
| 88 | 17% | 4.9% | 95% | 8% | 2.7% | 87% | < 1% | < 1% | 85% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% |
| 87 | 23% | 6% | 92% | 12% | 3.6% | 81% | < 1% | < 1% | 77% | < 1% | < 1% | 76% |
| 86 | 30% | 7% | 87% | 16% | 4.7% | 73% | 1.0% | < 1% | 67% | < 1% | < 1% | 67% |
| 85 | 38% | 8% | 82% | 22% | 6% | 66% | 1.8% | < 1% | 57% | < 1% | < 1% | 59% |
| 84 | 46% | 8% | 75% | 28% | 6% | 56% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 46% | < 1% | < 1% | 43% |
| 83 | 54% | 8% | 67% | 36% | 7% | 46% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 35% | 1.2% | < 1% | 33% |
| 82 | 62% | 8% | 57% | 43% | 8% | 38% | 7% | 2.4% | 26% | 2.0% | < 1% | 24% |
| 81 | 70% | 7% | 47% | 51% | 8% | 28% | 11% | 3.3% | 17% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 15% |
| 80 | 76% | 7% | 37% | 59% | 8% | 21% | 15% | 4.1% | 11% | 5% | 1.8% | 10% |
| 79 | 82% | 6% | 28% | 66% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 2.4% | 6% |
| 78 | 87% | 4.7% | 20% | 73% | 7% | 9% | 26% | 6% | 3.6% | 11% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| 77 | 90% | 3.8% | 13% | 79% | 6% | 5% | 32% | 7% | 1.9% | 15% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| 76 | 93% | 2.9% | 8% | 84% | 5% | 2.9% | 40% | 7% | < 1% | 20% | 5.0% | < 1% |
| 75 | 95.4% | 2.2% | 4% | 88% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 48% | 8% | < 1% | 26% | 6% | < 1% |
| 74 | 96.9% | 1.5% | 2% | 92% | 3.4% | < 1% | 55% | 8% | < 1% | 32% | 7% | < 1% |
| 73 | 98.0% | 1.1% | < 1% | 94% | 2.6% | < 1% | 63% | 7% | < 1% | 39% | 7% | < 1% |
| 72 | 98.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 96.2% | 1.9% | < 1% | 70% | 7% | < 1% | 47% | 8% | < 1% |
Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
Important matches for CL race
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| Aston Villa vs Newcastle (2.2%) | Home Win (55%) | Draw (22%) | Away Win (23%) |
| Aston Villa | 91% | 85% | 81% |
| Newcastle | 2.3% | 3.7% | 8% |
| Tottenham vs Brentford (2.2%) | Home Win (59%) | Draw (21%) | Away Win (20%) |
| Tottenham | 72% | 62% | 56% |
| West Ham | 22% | 25% | 26% |
| Aston Villa | 87% | 89% | 89% |
| Newcastle | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% |
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | Tottenham | West Ham | Brighton | Newcastle | Man United | Chelsea |
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 83 | 4.8% | 1.8% | 100% | 1.2% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 82 | 7% | 2.4% | 100% | 2.0% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 81 | 11% | 3.3% | 100% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 80 | 15% | 4.1% | 100% | 5% | 1.8% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 79 | 20% | 5% | 100% | 8% | 2.4% | 99.99% | 1.3% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 78 | 26% | 6% | 100% | 11% | 3.3% | 99.99% | 2.1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 77 | 32% | 7% | 99.98% | 15% | 4.1% | 99.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 76 | 40% | 7% | 99.97% | 20% | 5.0% | 99.9% | 5% | 1.7% | 99.5% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 75 | 48% | 8% | 99.9% | 26% | 6% | 99.7% | 8% | 2.5% | 99.0% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 74 | 55% | 8% | 99.7% | 32% | 7% | 99.4% | 11% | 3.1% | 98.1% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 73 | 63% | 7% | 99.4% | 39% | 7% | 98.8% | 15% | 4.1% | 97.0% | 1.1% | < 1% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 96% | < 1% | < 1% | 94% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 72 | 70% | 7% | 99.0% | 47% | 8% | 97.9% | 20% | 4.9% | 95.3% | 1.7% | < 1% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 94% | < 1% | < 1% | 94% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% | < 1% | < 1% | 96% |
| 71 | 76% | 6% | 98.1% | 54% | 8% | 96.6% | 25% | 6% | 93% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% | < 1% | < 1% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | 89% |
| 70 | 82% | 6% | 96.8% | 62% | 7% | 95% | 32% | 6% | 91% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 82% | 1.00% | < 1% | 85% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | 78% | < 1% | < 1% | 85% |
| 69 | 86% | 4.7% | 95% | 69% | 7% | 92% | 39% | 7% | 87% | 6% | 2.1% | 76% | 1.6% | < 1% | 79% | < 1% | < 1% | 79% | < 1% | < 1% | 69% | < 1% | < 1% | 77% |
| 68 | 90% | 3.8% | 92% | 75% | 6% | 88% | 46% | 7% | 83% | 9% | 2.8% | 67% | 2.6% | < 1% | 69% | < 1% | < 1% | 71% | 1.4% | < 1% | 61% | < 1% | < 1% | 66% |
| 67 | 93% | 3.0% | 87% | 81% | 6% | 83% | 54% | 8% | 77% | 13% | 3.6% | 57% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 60% | 1.5% | < 1% | 60% | 2.3% | < 1% | 48% | < 1% | < 1% | 57% |
| 66 | 95.2% | 2.2% | 81% | 86% | 4.8% | 76% | 62% | 8% | 70% | 17% | 4.3% | 47% | 6% | 1.8% | 50% | 2.5% | < 1% | 48% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 38% | 1.4% | < 1% | 44% |
| 65 | 96.8% | 1.6% | 73% | 90% | 3.9% | 67% | 69% | 7% | 62% | 22% | 5% | 38% | 8% | 2.5% | 40% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 38% | 5% | 1.8% | 26% | 2.3% | < 1% | 33% |
| 64 | 98.0% | 1.1% | 63% | 93% | 3.1% | 56% | 75% | 6% | 51% | 28% | 6% | 29% | 11% | 3.2% | 30% | 6% | 2.0% | 26% | 8% | 2.4% | 17% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 23% |
| 63 | 98.8% | < 1% | 51% | 95.0% | 2.4% | 44% | 81% | 6% | 40% | 35% | 7% | 22% | 15% | 4.0% | 23% | 8% | 2.5% | 17% | 11% | 3.1% | 10% | 5% | 1.8% | 14% |
| 62 | 99.27% | < 1% | 39% | 96.7% | 1.7% | 31% | 86% | 4.8% | 29% | 42% | 7% | 16% | 20% | 4.8% | 17% | 12% | 3.4% | 10% | 15% | 4.0% | 6% | 8% | 2.4% | 8% |
| 61 | 99.57% | < 1% | 30% | 97.9% | 1.2% | 20% | 90% | 3.9% | 20% | 50% | 7% | 12% | 26% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 4.2% | 5% | 20% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 11% | 3.2% | 4% |
| 60 | 99.76% | < 1% | 21% | 98.7% | < 1% | 11% | 93% | 3.1% | 12% | 57% | 7% | 11% | 32% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 25% | 6% | 1.1% | 15% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
Important matches for EL race (EL or CL)
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| Wolves vs Man United (2.7%) | Home Win (44%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (32%) |
| Man United | 23% | 28% | 39% |
| Wolves | 12% | 7% | 5% |
| West Ham vs Bournemouth (2%) | Home Win (59%) | Draw (21%) | Away Win (20%) |
| West Ham | 67% | 56% | 50% |
| Bournemouth | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6% |
| Newcastle | 26% | 28% | 29% |
| Aston Villa | Tottenham | West Ham | Brighton | Man United | Newcastle | Chelsea | Wolves | Bournemouth | Everton | Forest | Fulham |
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 73 | 39% | 7% | 100% | 15% | 4.1% | >99.99% | 1.1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 72 | 47% | 8% | 99.99% | 20% | 4.9% | 99.98% | 1.7% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 71 | 54% | 8% | 99.98% | 25% | 6% | 99.97% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 99.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 70 | 62% | 7% | 99.98% | 32% | 6% | 99.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 99.4% | 1.00% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 69 | 69% | 7% | 99.9% | 39% | 7% | 99.8% | 6% | 2.1% | 98.9% | 1.6% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 68 | 75% | 6% | 99.8% | 46% | 7% | 99.7% | 9% | 2.8% | 98.3% | 2.6% | < 1% | 98% | 1.4% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 67 | 81% | 6% | 99.6% | 54% | 8% | 99.3% | 13% | 3.6% | 97.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 97% | 2.3% | < 1% | 96% | 1.5% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 66 | 86% | 4.8% | 99.2% | 62% | 8% | 98.6% | 17% | 4.3% | 95.8% | 6% | 1.8% | 96% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 94% | 2.5% | < 1% | 96% | 1.4% | < 1% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 96% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 65 | 90% | 3.9% | 98.5% | 69% | 7% | 97.7% | 22% | 5% | 94% | 8% | 2.5% | 94% | 5% | 1.8% | 91% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 94% | 2.3% | < 1% | 93% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% | < 1% | < 1% | 94% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 64 | 93% | 3.1% | 97.1% | 75% | 6% | 95.9% | 28% | 6% | 91% | 11% | 3.2% | 90% | 8% | 2.4% | 87% | 6% | 2.0% | 90% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 89% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | 87% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 90% |
| 63 | 95.0% | 2.4% | 95% | 81% | 6% | 93% | 35% | 7% | 86% | 15% | 4.0% | 86% | 11% | 3.1% | 81% | 8% | 2.5% | 85% | 5% | 1.8% | 83% | 1.4% | < 1% | 81% | < 1% | < 1% | 79% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 84% |
| 62 | 96.7% | 1.7% | 92% | 86% | 4.8% | 89% | 42% | 7% | 81% | 20% | 4.8% | 80% | 15% | 4.0% | 73% | 12% | 3.4% | 78% | 8% | 2.4% | 76% | 2.3% | < 1% | 73% | < 1% | < 1% | 73% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 70% |
| 61 | 97.9% | 1.2% | 87% | 90% | 3.9% | 82% | 50% | 7% | 73% | 26% | 6% | 72% | 20% | 4.8% | 64% | 16% | 4.2% | 70% | 11% | 3.2% | 66% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 61% | < 1% | < 1% | 64% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 62% |
| 60 | 98.7% | < 1% | 81% | 93% | 3.1% | 73% | 57% | 7% | 64% | 32% | 6% | 64% | 25% | 6% | 53% | 21% | 5.0% | 60% | 15% | 4.1% | 56% | 5% | 1.8% | 51% | < 1% | < 1% | 50% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 53% |
| 59 | 99.23% | < 1% | 72% | 95.0% | 2.3% | 62% | 65% | 7% | 54% | 39% | 7% | 54% | 32% | 6% | 42% | 27% | 6% | 49% | 20% | 4.8% | 44% | 8% | 2.5% | 39% | 1.2% | < 1% | 39% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 40% |
| 58 | 99.56% | < 1% | 64% | 96.7% | 1.7% | 49% | 71% | 7% | 43% | 46% | 7% | 44% | 39% | 7% | 32% | 33% | 7% | 37% | 26% | 6% | 33% | 11% | 3.3% | 27% | 2.0% | < 1% | 27% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 27% |
| 57 | 99.76% | < 1% | 57% | 97.9% | 1.2% | 36% | 78% | 6% | 32% | 53% | 7% | 35% | 46% | 7% | 22% | 41% | 7% | 26% | 32% | 7% | 23% | 15% | 4.2% | 18% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | 29% | < 1% | < 1% | 11% | 1.3% | < 1% | 17% |
| 56 | 99.87% | < 1% | 49% | 98.8% | < 1% | 25% | 83% | 5% | 23% | 60% | 7% | 27% | 54% | 8% | 15% | 48% | 7% | 17% | 39% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 5% | 11% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | 10% | 2.1% | < 1% | 9% |
| 55 | 99.94% | < 1% | 44% | 99.29% | < 1% | 15% | 87% | 4.5% | 17% | 67% | 7% | 21% | 61% | 8% | 10% | 56% | 8% | 11% | 47% | 8% | 10% | 27% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 1.9% | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | 9% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 5% |
| 54 | 99.97% | < 1% | 49% | 99.60% | < 1% | 10% | 91% | 3.6% | 12% | 73% | 6% | 17% | 68% | 7% | 7% | 63% | 7% | 6% | 55% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 7% | 4.0% | 9% | 2.6% | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 2% |
| 53 | 99.99% | < 1% | 39% | 99.79% | < 1% | 6% | 94% | 2.8% | 10% | 79% | 6% | 15% | 75% | 7% | 6% | 70% | 7% | 3.9% | 62% | 8% | 5% | 41% | 7% | 2.6% | 12% | 3.3% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| 52 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.90% | < 1% | 6% | 95.9% | 2.1% | 9% | 84% | 4.9% | 15% | 81% | 6% | 5% | 76% | 6% | 2.7% | 69% | 7% | 4.5% | 48% | 8% | 2.1% | 16% | 4.0% | 3.5% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 10% | 2.8% | < 1% |
| 51 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.95% | < 1% | 4% | 97.3% | 1.5% | 9% | 88% | 4.1% | 14% | 86% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 82% | 6% | 2.2% | 76% | 7% | 4.1% | 56% | 8% | 2.0% | 21% | 4.8% | 3.3% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1.0% | < 1% | 2% | 13% | 3.6% | < 1% |
| 50 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.98% | < 1% | 4% | 98.4% | 1.0% | 8% | 91% | 3.3% | 14% | 90% | 4.0% | 5% | 86% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 81% | 6% | 4.0% | 64% | 8% | 2.0% | 27% | 6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | < 1% | 2% | 1.6% | < 1% | 2% | 18% | 4.4% | < 1% |
Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
Important matches for Europe race (ECL, EL or CL)
|
| Wolves vs Man United (3.6%) | Home Win (44%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (32%) |
| Man United | 33% | 40% | 52% |
| Wolves | 20% | 12% | 9% |
| West Ham vs Bournemouth (2%) | Home Win (59%) | Draw (21%) | Away Win (20%) |
| West Ham | 78% | 68% | 62% |
| Bournemouth | 4.9% | 6% | 9% |
| Aston Villa vs Newcastle (2%) | Home Win (55%) | Draw (22%) | Away Win (23%) |
| Newcastle | 33% | 39% | 51% |
| Aston Villa | 99.68% | 99.2% | 98.6% |
| Tottenham | West Ham | Brighton | Chelsea | Man United | Newcastle | Wolves | Fulham | Bournemouth | Everton | Forest | Brentford | Crystal Palace |
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 70 | 32% | 6% | 99.97% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 99.8% | 1.00% | < 1% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 69 | 39% | 7% | 99.93% | 6% | 2.1% | 99.6% | 1.6% | < 1% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 68 | 46% | 7% | 99.9% | 9% | 2.8% | 99.4% | 2.6% | < 1% | 99.5% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | 1.4% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 67 | 54% | 8% | 99.7% | 13% | 3.6% | 98.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 98.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | 2.3% | < 1% | 99% | 1.5% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 66 | 62% | 8% | 99.5% | 17% | 4.3% | 98.5% | 6% | 1.8% | 98.4% | 1.4% | < 1% | 99% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 98% | 2.5% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 65 | 69% | 7% | 99.2% | 22% | 5% | 97.7% | 8% | 2.5% | 97% | 2.3% | < 1% | 99% | 5% | 1.8% | 96% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 64 | 75% | 6% | 98.5% | 28% | 6% | 96.4% | 11% | 3.2% | 96% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 98% | 8% | 2.4% | 94% | 6% | 2.0% | 96% | < 1% | < 1% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 96% | < 1% | < 1% | 93% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 94% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 63 | 81% | 6% | 97.3% | 35% | 7% | 94% | 15% | 4.0% | 94% | 5% | 1.8% | 96% | 11% | 3.1% | 91% | 8% | 2.5% | 94% | 1.4% | < 1% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 94% | < 1% | < 1% | 90% |
| 62 | 86% | 4.8% | 95.3% | 42% | 7% | 92% | 20% | 4.8% | 91% | 8% | 2.4% | 94% | 15% | 4.0% | 87% | 12% | 3.4% | 90% | 2.3% | < 1% | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | 86% | < 1% | < 1% | 87% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 89% | < 1% | < 1% | 87% |
| 61 | 90% | 3.9% | 92% | 50% | 7% | 87% | 26% | 6% | 87% | 11% | 3.2% | 90% | 20% | 4.8% | 81% | 16% | 4.2% | 85% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 80% | < 1% | < 1% | 83% | < 1% | < 1% | 81% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 82% | < 1% | < 1% | 82% |
| 60 | 93% | 3.1% | 87% | 57% | 7% | 82% | 32% | 6% | 81% | 15% | 4.1% | 85% | 25% | 6% | 74% | 21% | 5.0% | 79% | 5% | 1.8% | 72% | < 1% | < 1% | 76% | < 1% | < 1% | 71% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 76% | < 1% | < 1% | 73% |
| 59 | 95.0% | 2.3% | 80% | 65% | 7% | 74% | 39% | 7% | 74% | 20% | 4.8% | 79% | 32% | 6% | 66% | 27% | 6% | 71% | 8% | 2.5% | 62% | < 1% | < 1% | 69% | 1.2% | < 1% | 62% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 65% | < 1% | < 1% | 63% |
| 58 | 96.7% | 1.7% | 71% | 71% | 7% | 65% | 46% | 7% | 65% | 26% | 6% | 71% | 39% | 7% | 55% | 33% | 7% | 61% | 11% | 3.3% | 51% | < 1% | < 1% | 57% | 2.0% | < 1% | 50% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 54% | < 1% | < 1% | 51% |
| 57 | 97.9% | 1.2% | 58% | 78% | 6% | 54% | 53% | 7% | 55% | 32% | 7% | 62% | 46% | 7% | 44% | 41% | 7% | 50% | 15% | 4.2% | 39% | 1.3% | < 1% | 44% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 37% | < 1% | < 1% | 50% | < 1% | < 1% | 33% | 1.3% | < 1% | 42% | 1.2% | < 1% | 38% |
| 56 | 98.8% | < 1% | 45% | 83% | 5% | 43% | 60% | 7% | 45% | 39% | 7% | 53% | 54% | 8% | 34% | 48% | 7% | 39% | 21% | 5% | 28% | 2.1% | < 1% | 34% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 26% | < 1% | < 1% | 38% | < 1% | < 1% | 27% | 2.0% | < 1% | 29% | 1.9% | < 1% | 26% |
| 55 | 99.29% | < 1% | 33% | 87% | 4.5% | 32% | 67% | 7% | 36% | 47% | 8% | 45% | 61% | 8% | 24% | 56% | 8% | 28% | 27% | 6% | 18% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 24% | 6% | 1.9% | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | 25% | < 1% | < 1% | 18% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 18% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 16% |
| 54 | 99.60% | < 1% | 23% | 91% | 3.6% | 23% | 73% | 6% | 27% | 55% | 8% | 38% | 68% | 7% | 16% | 63% | 7% | 19% | 33% | 7% | 11% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 16% | 9% | 2.6% | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | 19% | < 1% | < 1% | 11% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 10% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 9% |
| 53 | 99.79% | < 1% | 15% | 94% | 2.8% | 16% | 79% | 6% | 21% | 62% | 8% | 33% | 75% | 7% | 11% | 70% | 7% | 12% | 41% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 2.1% | 13% | 12% | 3.3% | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | 9% | < 1% | < 1% | 6% | 6% | 1.9% | 5% | 6% | 2.0% | 4% |
| 52 | 99.90% | < 1% | 10% | 95.9% | 2.1% | 12% | 84% | 4.9% | 18% | 69% | 7% | 30% | 81% | 6% | 8% | 76% | 6% | 7% | 48% | 8% | 4.1% | 10% | 2.8% | 10% | 16% | 4.0% | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 9% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| 51 | 99.95% | < 1% | 4% | 97.3% | 1.5% | 11% | 88% | 4.1% | 16% | 76% | 7% | 28% | 86% | 4.9% | 6% | 82% | 6% | 4.1% | 56% | 8% | 2.7% | 13% | 3.6% | 9% | 21% | 4.8% | 3.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 1.0% | < 1% | 2% | 12% | 3.3% | < 1% | 12% | 3.4% | < 1% |
| 50 | 99.98% | < 1% | 4% | 98.4% | 1.0% | 9% | 91% | 3.3% | 15% | 81% | 6% | 27% | 90% | 4.0% | 5% | 86% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 64% | 8% | 2.2% | 18% | 4.4% | 9% | 27% | 6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | < 1% | 3% | 1.6% | < 1% | 2% | 16% | 4.1% | < 1% | 17% | 4.2% | < 1% |
| 49 | >99.99% | < 1% | 6% | 99.04% | < 1% | 9% | 94% | 2.6% | 14% | 86% | 4.8% | 27% | 93% | 3.2% | 5% | 90% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 71% | 7% | 2.1% | 23% | 5% | 9% | 33% | 6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | < 1% | 3% | 2.5% | < 1% | 2% | 21% | 4.8% | < 1% | 22% | 4.9% | < 1% |
| 48 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.46% | < 1% | 9% | 95.9% | 1.9% | 14% | 90% | 3.9% | 27% | 95.2% | 2.4% | 5% | 93% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 77% | 6% | 2.0% | 29% | 6% | 9% | 40% | 7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 2% | 27% | 6% | < 1% | 27% | 6% | < 1% |
| 47 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.71% | < 1% | 9% | 97.3% | 1.4% | 15% | 93% | 3.0% | 27% | 96.9% | 1.7% | 5% | 95.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 83% | 6% | 2.0% | 35% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 3% | 6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 33% | 6% | < 1% | 34% | 6% | < 1% |
| 46 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.85% | < 1% | 7% | 98.3% | < 1% | 15% | 95.5% | 2.3% | 27% | 98.1% | 1.2% | 5% | 97.0% | 1.6% | 2% | 88% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 43% | 7% | 9% | 54% | 7% | 3.2% | 7% | 2.2% | 3% | 8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 40% | 7% | < 1% | 41% | 7% | < 1% |
| 45 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.93% | < 1% | 7% | 99.0% | < 1% | 14% | 97.2% | 1.6% | 27% | 98.9% | < 1% | 5% | 98.1% | 1.1% | 2% | 91% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 50% | 7% | 9% | 61% | 7% | 3.4% | 10% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 11% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 48% | 7% | < 1% | 48% | 7% | < 1% |
Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
Important matches for avoiding relegation
|
| Luton vs Brighton (2.8%) | Home Win (26%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (51%) |
| Luton | 43% | 30% | 24% |
| Forest | 78% | 81% | 83% |
| Everton | 78% | 82% | 84% |
| Fulham vs Everton (2.4%) | Home Win (47%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (29%) |
| Everton | 77% | 82% | 90% |
| Fulham | 99.2% | 97.7% | 95.9% |
| Luton | 32% | 31% | 28% |
| Sheffield United | Burnley | Luton | Forest | Everton | Crystal Palace | Brentford | Fulham | Bournemouth |
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 51 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.0% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 12% | 3.4% | 100% | 12% | 3.3% | 100% | 13% | 3.6% | 100% | 21% | 4.8% | 100% |
| 50 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.6% | < 1% | 100% | 1.2% | < 1% | 100% | 17% | 4.2% | 100% | 16% | 4.1% | 100% | 18% | 4.4% | 100% | 27% | 6% | 100% |
| 49 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 2.5% | < 1% | 100% | 2.0% | < 1% | 100% | 22% | 4.9% | 100% | 21% | 4.8% | 100% | 23% | 5% | 100% | 33% | 6% | 100% |
| 48 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 100% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 100% | 27% | 6% | 100% | 27% | 6% | 100% | 29% | 6% | 100% | 40% | 7% | 100% |
| 47 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 6% | 1.8% | 100% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 100% | 34% | 6% | 100% | 33% | 6% | 100% | 35% | 7% | 100% | 47% | 7% | 100% |
| 46 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 8% | 2.4% | 100% | 7% | 2.2% | 100% | 41% | 7% | 100% | 40% | 7% | 100% | 43% | 7% | 100% | 54% | 7% | 100% |
| 45 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 11% | 3.2% | 100% | 10% | 2.9% | 100% | 48% | 7% | 100% | 48% | 7% | 100% | 50% | 7% | 100% | 61% | 7% | 100% |
| 44 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.3% | < 1% | 99.9% | 15% | 4.0% | >99.99% | 14% | 3.8% | >99.99% | 56% | 7% | 100% | 55% | 7% | 100% | 58% | 8% | 100% | 68% | 7% | 100% |
| 43 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | 2.1% | < 1% | 99.9% | 20% | 4.9% | >99.99% | 18% | 4.7% | >99.99% | 63% | 7% | >99.99% | 62% | 7% | >99.99% | 65% | 7% | >99.99% | 75% | 6% | >99.99% |
| 42 | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 99.6% | 26% | 6% | 99.96% | 24% | 6% | 99.98% | 70% | 7% | 99.99% | 69% | 7% | >99.99% | 72% | 7% | 99.99% | 80% | 6% | 99.97% |
| 41 | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | 1.2% | < 1% | 99% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 98.8% | 32% | 6% | 99.8% | 30% | 6% | 99.9% | 76% | 6% | 99.9% | 75% | 6% | 99.95% | 78% | 6% | 99.9% | 85% | 4.8% | 99.9% |
| 40 | < 1% | < 1% | 95% | 1.9% | < 1% | 97% | 7% | 2.2% | 97% | 39% | 7% | 99.4% | 37% | 7% | 99.6% | 82% | 6% | 99.6% | 81% | 6% | 99.7% | 83% | 5% | 99.6% | 89% | 4.0% | 99.5% |
| 39 | < 1% | < 1% | 94% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 92% | 10% | 3.0% | 92% | 47% | 8% | 98.2% | 45% | 8% | 98.9% | 86% | 4.7% | 98.9% | 86% | 4.8% | 99.2% | 88% | 4.5% | 98.9% | 92% | 3.2% | 98.4% |
| 38 | < 1% | < 1% | 84% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 84% | 14% | 3.8% | 86% | 55% | 8% | 96.1% | 53% | 8% | 97.2% | 90% | 3.8% | 97.2% | 90% | 3.9% | 97.8% | 91% | 3.6% | 97.0% | 95% | 2.4% | 96% |
| 37 | < 1% | < 1% | 72% | 7% | 2.1% | 73% | 19% | 4.8% | 76% | 62% | 8% | 92% | 60% | 8% | 94% | 93% | 3.0% | 93% | 93% | 3.1% | 95% | 94% | 2.8% | 93% | 96.6% | 1.8% | 90% |
| 36 | 1.2% | < 1% | 58% | 9% | 2.8% | 59% | 24% | 6% | 63% | 70% | 7% | 85% | 68% | 7% | 88% | 95.5% | 2.2% | 88% | 95.3% | 2.4% | 89% | 96.3% | 2.1% | 87% | 97.8% | 1.3% | 83% |
| 35 | 2.0% | < 1% | 42% | 13% | 3.7% | 44% | 31% | 7% | 49% | 76% | 7% | 75% | 75% | 7% | 80% | 97.1% | 1.6% | 77% | 97.0% | 1.7% | 81% | 97.7% | 1.4% | 78% | 98.7% | < 1% | 70% |
| 34 | 3.0% | 1.1% | 27% | 18% | 4.6% | 30% | 38% | 7% | 36% | 82% | 6% | 63% | 81% | 6% | 68% | 98.2% | 1.1% | 65% | 98.2% | 1.2% | 69% | 98.7% | < 1% | 64% | 99.25% | < 1% | 56% |
| 33 | 4.6% | 1.6% | 16% | 23% | 5% | 19% | 46% | 8% | 24% | 87% | 4.9% | 50% | 86% | 5% | 55% | 99.0% | < 1% | 51% | 98.9% | < 1% | 55% | 99.27% | < 1% | 51% | 99.59% | < 1% | 41% |
| 32 | 7% | 2.2% | 8% | 30% | 6% | 11% | 55% | 8% | 15% | 91% | 3.9% | 37% | 90% | 4.2% | 42% | 99.44% | < 1% | 37% | 99.41% | < 1% | 40% | 99.62% | < 1% | 35% | 99.79% | < 1% | 26% |
| 31 | 10% | 2.9% | 4% | 37% | 7% | 6% | 63% | 8% | 8% | 94% | 3.0% | 26% | 93% | 3.2% | 30% | 99.71% | < 1% | 24% | 99.70% | < 1% | 27% | 99.81% | < 1% | 23% | 99.90% | < 1% | 16% |
| 30 | 14% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 44% | 8% | 2.6% | 70% | 8% | 4.1% | 96.3% | 2.2% | 16% | 95.5% | 2.4% | 19% | 99.85% | < 1% | 14% | 99.86% | < 1% | 16% | 99.92% | < 1% | 15% | 99.96% | < 1% | 9% |
| 29 | 18% | 4.7% | < 1% | 53% | 8% | 1.0% | 77% | 7% | 1.9% | 97.8% | 1.5% | 9% | 97.2% | 1.7% | 11% | 99.93% | < 1% | 8% | 99.93% | < 1% | 9% | 99.97% | < 1% | 10% | 99.98% | < 1% | 4% |
| 28 | 24% | 6% | < 1% | 61% | 8% | < 1% | 83% | 6% | < 1% | 98.8% | < 1% | 5% | 98.4% | 1.1% | 6% | 99.97% | < 1% | 4% | 99.98% | < 1% | 4% | 99.99% | < 1% | 3% | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% |
Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
| Europe | EL (or CL) | CL |
| Fourth team | 100% | 100% | >99.99% |
| Fifth team | >99.99% | >99.99% | 83% |
| FA cup winners | 100% | 100% | 66% |
| League cup winners | 100% | 68% | 63% |
| Sixth team | 98.4% | 95% | 4.2% |
| Seventh team | 86% | 63% | 3.7% |
| Eighth team | 52% | 11% | 2.9% |
Simulated points for winner: 82 - 87
Simulated points for fourth: 69 - 73
Simulated points for 17th team: 34 - 38
Coming Matches
| Home |
| Draw |
| Away |
| Brighton | 58% | 21% | 21% | Brentford |
| Crystal Palace | 50% | 23% | 27% | Bournemouth |
| Forest | 23% | 22% | 55% | Arsenal |
| Luton | 26% | 23% | 51% | Brighton |
| Fulham | 47% | 24% | 29% | Everton |
| Crystal Palace | 65% | 19% | 16% | Sheffield United |
| Aston Villa | 55% | 22% | 23% | Newcastle |
| Tottenham | 59% | 21% | 20% | Brentford |
| Man City | 85% | 10% | 5% | Burnley |
| Liverpool | 67% | 19% | 15% | Chelsea |
| West Ham | 59% | 21% | 20% | Bournemouth |
| Wolves | 44% | 24% | 32% | Man United |
Most likely combo of teams in CL
| 41% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 9% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City |
| 9% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, West Ham |
| 6% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 5% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham, West Ham |
| 4.2% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City |
| 3.7% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 3.0% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham, West Ham |
| 1.9% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
| 1.7% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Man United |
Most likely combo of teams being relegated
| 57% | Burnley, Luton, Sheffield United |
| 12% | Burnley, Forest, Sheffield United |
| 11% | Burnley, Everton, Sheffield United |
| 4.6% | Forest, Luton, Sheffield United |
| 4.5% | Everton, Luton, Sheffield United |
| 1.6% | Burnley, Crystal Palace, Sheffield United |
| 1.5% | Brentford, Burnley, Sheffield United |
| 1.3% | Burnley, Fulham, Sheffield United |
| 1.1% | Bournemouth, Burnley, Sheffield United |
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