French Open: Probabilities after qualifications

Name	R3	R4	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
J Sinner	94%	86%	78%	66%	42%	29%
C Alcaraz	91%	87%	79%	56%	32%	21%
N Djokovic	93%	85%	75%	56%	40%	20%
D Medvedev	78%	65%	49%	31%	15%	6%
A Zverev	72%	60%	44%	28%	14%	5%
C Ruud	83%	72%	52%	23%	13%	4.8%
S Tsitsipas	74%	63%	42%	20%	9%	4.6%
A Rublev	83%	68%	38%	15%	6%	2.6%
T Fritz	69%	57%	28%	10%	4.8%	1.3%
G Dimitrov	82%	61%	37%	11%	3.3%	1.2%
H Hurkacz	81%	63%	37%	11%	3.3%	1.1%
H Rune	66%	43%	20%	10%	3.2%	< 1%
A De Minaur	70%	42%	18%	7%	2.1%	< 1%
J-L Struff	68%	38%	16%	7%	1.8%	< 1%
K Khachanov	71%	37%	15%	6%	1.8%	< 1%
S Baez	73%	45%	9%	3.9%	< 1%	< 1%
T Paul	60%	40%	9%	3.3%	1.1%	< 1%
F Auger-Aliassime	66%	45%	9%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%
N Jarry	52%	29%	5.0%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%
U Humbert	53%	17%	7%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
M Navone	55%	17%	7%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%
A Tabilo	79%	29%	12%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%
L Musetti	52%	8%	4.5%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
F Cerundolo	54%	28%	5%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
C Norrie	44%	6%	3.0%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
R Nadal	16%	9%	4.1%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
L Darderi	54%	15%	6%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
B Shelton	68%	35%	5%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
T Griekspoor	41%	11%	4.4%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
M Arnaldi	40%	12%	3.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
TM Etcheverry	59%	14%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H Medjedovic	24%	11%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Last 32	Last 16	Quarter-finals	Semi-finals	Final	Champions
N Djokovic (93%)
	N Djokovic (85%)
L Musetti (52%) T Seyboth Wild (24%) G Monfils (17%)
		N Djokovic (75%) T Paul (9%)
F Cerundolo (54%) C Oconnell (26%) Y Hanfmann (15%)
	T Paul (40%) F Cerundolo (28%) F Fognini (9%)
T Paul (60%) F Fognini (19%) B Van De Zandschulp (17%)
			N Djokovic (56%) C Ruud (23%) T Fritz (10%)
T Fritz (69%) D Lajovic (16%)
	T Fritz (57%) A Popyrin (15%) D Lajovic (9%)
A Popyrin (45%) T Kokkinakis (29%) A Mannarino (15%)
		C Ruud (52%) T Fritz (28%) TM Etcheverry (5%)
TM Etcheverry (59%) A Rinderknech (29%)
	C Ruud (72%) TM Etcheverry (14%)
C Ruud (83%) A Davidovich Fokina (14%)
				N Djokovic (40%) D Medvedev (15%) A Zverev (14%) C Ruud (13%)
A Zverev (72%) R Nadal (16%)
	A Zverev (60%) L Darderi (15%) T Griekspoor (11%)
L Darderi (54%) T Griekspoor (41%)
		A Zverev (44%) H Rune (20%) K Khachanov (15%)
K Khachanov (71%) M Giron (16%)
	H Rune (43%) K Khachanov (37%) H Medjedovic (11%)
H Rune (66%) H Medjedovic (24%)
			D Medvedev (31%) A Zverev (28%) H Rune (10%) A De Minaur (7%)
A De Minaur (70%) R Bautista Agut (28%)
	A De Minaur (42%) J-L Struff (38%) R Bautista Agut (11%)
J-L Struff (68%) A Bublik (18%)
		D Medvedev (49%) A De Minaur (18%) J-L Struff (16%)
M Navone (55%) N Borges (22%) T Machac (22%)
	D Medvedev (65%) M Navone (17%)
D Medvedev (78%) M Kecmanovic (9%)
					J Sinner (29%) C Alcaraz (21%) N Djokovic (20%) D Medvedev (6%)
A Rublev (83%) P Martinez (13%)
	A Rublev (68%) M Arnaldi (12%)
M Arnaldi (40%) A Fils (29%) A Muller (22%)
		S Tsitsipas (42%) A Rublev (38%) U Humbert (7%)
U Humbert (53%) Z Zhang (28%) L Sonego (15%)
	S Tsitsipas (63%) U Humbert (17%) M Fucsovics (6%)
S Tsitsipas (74%) L Djere (12%)
			C Alcaraz (56%) S Tsitsipas (20%) A Rublev (15%)
B Shelton (68%) K Nishikori (18%)
	F Auger-Aliassime (45%) B Shelton (35%) Y Nishioka (10%)
F Auger-Aliassime (66%) Y Nishioka (22%)
		C Alcaraz (79%) F Auger-Aliassime (9%)
S Korda (45%) E Ruusuvuori (28%) S-w Kwon (16%)
	C Alcaraz (87%)
C Alcaraz (91%)
				J Sinner (42%) C Alcaraz (32%) S Tsitsipas (9%)
H Hurkacz (81%) B Nakashima (15%)
	H Hurkacz (63%) F Tiafoe (16%)
F Tiafoe (53%) D Shapovalov (32%) L Van Assche (15%)
		H Hurkacz (37%) G Dimitrov (37%) A Tabilo (12%)
A Tabilo (79%) J Thompson (13%)
	G Dimitrov (61%) A Tabilo (29%)
G Dimitrov (82%) F Marozsan (15%)
			J Sinner (66%) G Dimitrov (11%)
N Jarry (52%) A Karatsev (30%) A Shevchenko (9%)
	S Baez (45%) N Jarry (29%) A Karatsev (13%)
S Baez (73%) S Ofner (18%)
		J Sinner (78%) S Baez (9%)
C Norrie (44%) A Murray (32%) S Wawrinka (13%)
	J Sinner (86%)
J Sinner (94%)