EL/ECL: Strong night for Italian teams.
EL/ECL: Strong night for Italian teams.
Strong night for Italian teams with wins for Milan, Roma and Fiorentina. They increased their average score in the simulations from 19.86 to 20.85 and finish top-2 in 96.6% of the simulations. English teams had a poor night and decreased their average score in the simulations from 19.54 to 19.12, while German teams increased from 17.78 to 18.14. Many points on the table next Thursday when the quarterfinalists in EL and ECL are decided.
Europa League
| Team | Quarter | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Liverpool | 99.95% | 76% | 57% | 38% |
| Leverkusen | 88% | 56% | 34% | 18% |
| Milan | 90% | 51% | 27% | 12% |
| Roma | 96.5% | 45% | 19% | 7% |
| Atalanta | 64% | 32% | 15% | 6% |
| Benfica | 54% | 26% | 11% | 4.7% |
| Marseille | 97.2% | 36% | 12% | 3.8% |
| West Ham | 48% | 21% | 8% | 3.1% |
| Sporting | 36% | 17% | 7% | 2.9% |
| Freiburg | 52% | 17% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Rangers | 46% | 14% | 3.4% | < 1% |
| Slavia Praha | 10% | 3.7% | 1.2% | < 1% |
| Karabakh Agdam | 12% | 2.8% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Brighton | 3.5% | 1.8% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Villarreal | 2.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Sparta Praha | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Team | Quarter | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Aston Villa | 82% | 65% | 50% | 35% |
| Fiorentina | 90% | 58% | 34% | 18% |
| Lille | 99.25% | 60% | 33% | 16% |
| Fenerbahce | 96.8% | 52% | 25% | 11% |
| Brugge | 54% | 28% | 13% | 6% |
| M Tel Aviv | 98.0% | 39% | 14% | 4.7% |
| Viktoria Plzen | 67% | 24% | 8% | 2.4% |
| Ajax | 18% | 9% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 77% | 24% | 7% | 1.9% |
| Molde | 46% | 15% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| PAOK | 23% | 9% | 2.8% | < 1% |
| Servette | 33% | 9% | 2.4% | < 1% |
| Maccabi Haifa | 10% | 4.6% | 1.9% | < 1% |
| St Gillis | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | < 1% |
| Olympiakos | 2.0% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Sturm Graz | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Score | ||||
| Country | Probability | Average | Min | Max |
| ITA | 96.6% | 20.85 | 16.71 | 26.57 |
| ENG | 72% | 19.12 | 15.13 | 23.75 |
| GER | 29% | 18.14 | 15.64 | 22.64 |
| FRA | 2.2% | 16.44 | 14.08 | 20.58 |
| CZE | < 1% | 14.45 | 13.25 | 20.25 |
| ESP | < 1% | 15.33 | 13.81 | 19.31 |
| BEL | < 1% | 13.32 | 12.4 | 17.6 |
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