EL/ECL: Last 16 decided
EL/ECL: Last 16 decided
Germany is now ahead of England in the country race for extra CL spots, but England has strong contenders in all three competitions and finish top 2 in 86% of the simulations.
Europa League
| Team | Quarter | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Liverpool | 81% | 64% | 49% | 34% |
| Leverkusen | 70% | 45% | 27% | 14% |
| Milan | 58% | 35% | 19% | 10% |
| West Ham | 61% | 32% | 15% | 7% |
| Brighton | 60% | 31% | 15% | 6% |
| Atalanta | 62% | 30% | 14% | 6% |
| Benfica | 51% | 26% | 13% | 6% |
| Sporting | 48% | 23% | 10% | 4.3% |
| Roma | 47% | 23% | 10% | 4.0% |
| Marseille | 42% | 18% | 7% | 2.4% |
| Villarreal | 47% | 17% | 6% | 2.0% |
| Freiburg | 40% | 15% | 5% | 1.8% |
| Slavia Praha | 43% | 16% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Rangers | 38% | 11% | 3.0% | < 1% |
| Sparta Praha | 30% | 9% | 2.5% | < 1% |
| Karabakh Agdam | 21% | 4.3% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Team | Quarter | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Aston Villa | 85% | 66% | 50% | 34% |
| Fiorentina | 75% | 48% | 28% | 15% |
| Lille | 73% | 44% | 24% | 12% |
| Brugge | 72% | 40% | 20% | 9% |
| St Gillis | 54% | 31% | 17% | 8% |
| Fenerbahce | 67% | 36% | 17% | 7% |
| Ajax | 47% | 23% | 10% | 4.3% |
| M Tel Aviv | 55% | 22% | 8% | 2.7% |
| PAOK | 52% | 20% | 7% | 2.2% |
| Maccabi Haifa | 34% | 13% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Viktoria Plzen | 48% | 16% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Sturm Graz | 32% | 11% | 3.1% | < 1% |
| Olympiakos | 28% | 9% | 2.5% | < 1% |
| Molde | 28% | 8% | 2.0% | < 1% |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 26% | 7% | 1.7% | < 1% |
| Servette | 25% | 7% | 1.5% | < 1% |
| Score | ||||
| Country | Probability | Average | Min | Max |
| ITA | 89% | 20.02 | 15.86 | 26.71 |
| ENG | 86% | 19.57 | 14.38 | 24.25 |
| GER | 20% | 17.48 | 14.64 | 22.64 |
| CZE | 2.3% | 15.25 | 13 | 22.5 |
| FRA | 1.6% | 15.64 | 13.25 | 20.42 |
| ESP | 1.1% | 15.69 | 13.31 | 20.31 |
| BEL | < 1% | 14.45 | 12.4 | 18.4 |
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