CL: Probabilities after R16 Leg 1
CL: Probabilities after R16 Leg 1
Thirteen teams with good (>20%) chances to reach the quarterfinals.
Champions League
| Team | Quarter | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Man City | 99.53% | 74% | 54% | 35% |
| Real Madrid | 92% | 58% | 34% | 18% |
| Inter | 69% | 39% | 21% | 10% |
| Bayern | 61% | 35% | 19% | 9% |
| Paris SG | 85% | 38% | 15% | 6% |
| Arsenal | 53% | 27% | 13% | 6% |
| Dortmund | 67% | 28% | 10% | 3.9% |
| Barcelona | 67% | 28% | 10% | 3.8% |
| Atletico | 31% | 14% | 6% | 2.3% |
| Porto | 47% | 16% | 5% | 1.6% |
| PSV | 33% | 12% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Napoli | 33% | 11% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Lazio | 39% | 12% | 3.1% | < 1% |
| Sociedad | 15% | 5% | 1.7% | < 1% |
| RB Leipzig | 8% | 3.0% | < 1% | < 1% |
| FC Kobenhavn | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Which country get extra CL spots
| Score | ||||
| Country | Probability | Average | Min | Max |
| ITA | 84% | 19.92 | 15.29 | 27.29 |
| ENG | 82% | 19.58 | 14.75 | 24.63 |
| GER | 26% | 17.72 | 14.21 | 24.93 |
| FRA | 4.2% | 15.75 | 12.25 | 23.75 |
| ESP | 2.5% | 15.98 | 13.19 | 21.44 |
| CZE | < 1% | 14.48 | 12.25 | 23.25 |
| BEL | < 1% | 13.86 | 11.8 | 20 |
| TUR | < 1% | 13.16 | 11 | 19.75 |
| POR | < 1% | 11.53 | 8.83 | 18.83 |
| NED | < 1% | 10.51 | 9.2 | 18 |
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