PL: Villa one point from clinching CL spot
PL: Villa one point from clinching CL spot
Villa need one point against Crystal Palace to clinch the 4th place and a CL spot. Tottenham on the other hand need that Crystal Palace defeat Aston Villa plus that Tottenham win tonight against City and against Sheffield United on Sunday. This triple of wins happen in about 5% of the simulations. Totten need one point to clinch at least EL.
City need to win both matches to clinch the title. If they draw tonight and Arsenal beat Everton on Sunday, City can still win if they thrash West Ham and win with a margin three goals greater than Arsenal's win.
| Average Simulated Season | Probabilities | |||||||||||
| Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League | ECL | EL | CL |
| 85 | Man City | 89.3 | +60 | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 56% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 86 | Arsenal | 88.4 | +63 | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 44% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 79 | Liverpool | 81.3 | +44 | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 68 | Aston Villa | 69.4 | +20 | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | 95% |
| 63 | Tottenham | 65.9 | +12 | < 1% | 100% | 99.78% | 96.9% | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | 94% | 5% |
| 57 | Chelsea | 60.1 | +13 | < 1% | 95% | 50% | 1.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 46% | 40% | < 1% |
| 57 | Newcastle | 59.4 | +21 | < 1% | 87% | 47% | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | 42% | 37% | < 1% |
| 54 | Man United | 56.9 | -4 | < 1% | 18% | 3.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 11% | 25% | < 1% |
| 52 | West Ham | 52.4 | -14 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 48 | Brighton | 51.0 | -4 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 48 | Bournemouth | 48.9 | -13 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 46 | Crystal Palace | 47.3 | -6 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 46 | Wolves | 46.6 | -14 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 44 | Fulham | 45.5 | -7 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 42 | Everton | 42.5 | -12 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 39 | Brentford | 40.4 | -7 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 29 | Forest | 30.1 | -19 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 26 | Luton | 27.3 | -31 | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 21 | Burnley | 24.1 | -39 | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 16 | Sheffield United | 18.3 | -64 | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Man City | Arsenal | |||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 91 | 42% | 42% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 90 | 42% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 89 | 67% | 25% | 30% | 73% | 73% | 57% |
| 88 | 90% | 23% | 27% | 73% | < 1% | - |
| 87 | 93% | 3.0% | 11% | 89% | 16% | 10% |
| 86 | 98.1% | 4.9% | < 1% | 100% | 11% | 7% |
| Important matches for CL race | |||
| Tottenham vs Man City (21.8%) | Home Win (24%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (53%) |
| Aston Villa | 79% | 100% | 100% |
| Tottenham | 21% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Aston Villa | Tottenham | |||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 71 | 39% | 39% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 70 | 39% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 69 | 64% | 24% | 99.79% | 14% | 14% | 37% |
| Important matches for title race | |||
| Tottenham vs Man City (58.8%) | Home Win (24%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (53%) |
| Arsenal | 79% | 74% | 15% |
| Man City | 21% | 26% | 85% |
Like
Dislike
Love
Angry
Sad
Funny
Wow
.jpeg)
.jpeg)
.jpeg)
Comments 0