PL. Matchday 3
PL. Matchday 3
Man City win premier league with 12 points on average in the simulations. Arsenal win the league in 10% of the simulations, while Liverpool get the silverware in 5% of the simulations.
Hot Teams
Brighton: 7 points in the last 3 matches, 3.7 more than expected
Liverpool: 9 points in the last 3 matches, 3.1 more than expected
Man City: 9 points in the last 3 matches, 2.3 more than expected
Aston Villa: 6 points in the last 3 matches, 2.2 more than expected
Brentford: 6 points in the last 3 matches, 1.7 more than expected
Cold Teams
Everton: 0 points in the last 3 matches, 3.9 less than expected
Southampton: 0 points in the last 3 matches, 2.7 less than expected
Crystal Palace: 1 point in the last 3 matches, 2.7 less than expected
Leicester: 1 point in the last 3 matches, 2.3 less than expected
Wolves: 1 point in the last 3 matches, 1.7 less than expected
| Average Simulated Season | Probabilities | |||||||||||
| Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League | ECL | EL | CL |
| 9 | Man City | 89.3 | +64 | < 1% | >99.99% | >99.99% | >99.99% | 99.96% | 84% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.99% |
| 7 | Arsenal | 77.4 | +41 | < 1% | 99.68% | 99.29% | 98.3% | 95.9% | 10% | < 1% | 1.7% | 97.8% |
| 9 | Liverpool | 74.7 | +36 | < 1% | 99.05% | 98.1% | 96.0% | 91% | 5% | < 1% | 3.8% | 95% |
| 7 | Newcastle | 60.7 | +10 | < 1% | 69% | 58% | 44% | 27% | < 1% | 10% | 25% | 38% |
| 4 | Chelsea | 60.6 | +15 | < 1% | 70% | 58% | 45% | 28% | < 1% | 8% | 34% | 39% |
| 4 | Tottenham | 57.8 | +11 | < 1% | 55% | 43% | 30% | 16% | < 1% | 10% | 20% | 35% |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 57.7 | +5 | < 1% | 53% | 41% | 28% | 15% | < 1% | 12% | 23% | 24% |
| 7 | Brighton | 55.1 | +3 | < 1% | 39% | 28% | 18% | 9% | < 1% | 11% | 19% | 15% |
| 3 | Man United | 54.7 | +2 | < 1% | 37% | 26% | 16% | 8% | < 1% | 11% | 17% | 22% |
| 3 | West Ham | 50.6 | -3 | 3.0% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 2.8% | < 1% | 7% | 11% | 5% |
| 6 | Brentford | 50.5 | -6 | 3.0% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 2.6% | < 1% | 8% | 11% | 5% |
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 48.7 | -5 | 4.9% | 13% | 8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | < 1% | 7% | 9% | 3.3% |
| 4 | Fulham | 48.5 | -7 | 5% | 12% | 7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | < 1% | 6% | 8% | 3.1% |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 47.5 | -10 | 6% | 10% | 6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | < 1% | 4.2% | 6% | 2.3% |
| 5 | Forest | 42.3 | -19 | 21% | 2.4% | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.3% | 4.1% | < 1% |
| 1 | Wolves | 41.0 | -21 | 27% | 1.7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | < 1% |
| 0 | Everton | 41.0 | -21 | 27% | 1.6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | < 1% |
| 1 | Leicester | 37.9 | -23 | 43% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.7% | < 1% |
| 0 | Southampton | 31.8 | -34 | 77% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 1 | Ipswich | 30.9 | -38 | 81% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Team | One Title | Two titles | Three titles | Four titles | Double | Treble | Quadruple |
| Man City | 96.2% | 69% | 27% | 4.2% | 36% | 11% | 4.2% |
| Arsenal | 42% | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Liverpool | 27% | 2.9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Newcastle | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Chelsea | 32% | 2.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Tottenham | 17% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Aston Villa | 4.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Brighton | 2.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Man United | 15% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| West Ham | 2.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Brentford | 3.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Crystal Palace | 4.4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Fulham | 2.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Bournemouth | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| Forest | 2.8% | ||||||
| Wolves | < 1% | < 1% | |||||
| Everton | 1.3% | < 1% | |||||
| Leicester | 1.9% | < 1% | |||||
| Southampton | < 1% | < 1% | |||||
| Ipswich | < 1% |
| Europe | EL (or CL) | CL | |
| Fourth team | 100% | 100% | 99.94% |
| Fifth team | >99.99% | >99.99% | 68% |
| FA cup winners | 100% | 100% | 66% |
| League cup winners | >99.99% | 83% | 77% |
| Sixth team | 98.4% | 91% | 2.9% |
| Seventh team | 86% | 53% | 2.7% |
| Eighth team | 51% | 9% | 2.4% |
| 7% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
| 6% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City |
| 6% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle, Tottenham |
| 6% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 5% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
| 3.7% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City |
| 3.7% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 3.6% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
| 3.0% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City |
| 3.0% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man United |
| 20% | Ipswich, Leicester, Southampton |
| 11% | Everton, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 11% | Ipswich, Southampton, Wolves |
| 9% | Forest, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 3.4% | Everton, Ipswich, Leicester |
| 3.3% | Ipswich, Leicester, Wolves |
| 2.7% | Everton, Leicester, Southampton |
| 2.6% | Leicester, Southampton, Wolves |
| 2.4% | Bournemouth, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 2.4% | Forest, Ipswich, Leicester |
Like
Dislike
Love
Angry
Sad
Funny
Wow
.jpeg)
.jpeg)
.jpeg)
Comments 0