PL: Match Week 1
PL: Match Week 1
Most positive start for Brighton, Aston Villa and Brentford.
| Average Simulated Season | Probabilities | |||||||||||
| Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League | ECL | EL | CL |
| 3 | Man City | 87.6 | +62 | < 1% | >99.99% | >99.99% | 99.98% | 99.91% | 83% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.97% |
| 3 | Arsenal | 76.5 | +39 | < 1% | 99.45% | 98.9% | 97.7% | 95% | 12% | < 1% | 2.2% | 97.0% |
| 3 | Liverpool | 71.6 | +31 | < 1% | 97.3% | 95.2% | 92% | 84% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 7% | 90% |
| 3 | Newcastle | 59.8 | +10 | < 1% | 65% | 54% | 41% | 26% | < 1% | 9% | 24% | 36% |
| 0 | Chelsea | 59.2 | +11 | < 1% | 63% | 52% | 39% | 24% | < 1% | 8% | 34% | 34% |
| 3 | Man United | 57.5 | +6 | < 1% | 54% | 42% | 30% | 18% | < 1% | 10% | 20% | 33% |
| 1 | Tottenham | 57.2 | +8 | < 1% | 53% | 41% | 29% | 17% | < 1% | 10% | 19% | 35% |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 57.2 | +5 | < 1% | 52% | 40% | 28% | 16% | < 1% | 11% | 21% | 25% |
| 0 | Crystal Palace | 52.8 | +1 | 2.5% | 30% | 21% | 13% | 7% | < 1% | 10% | 17% | 11% |
| 3 | Brighton | 50.4 | -4 | 4.5% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 3.5% | < 1% | 8% | 10% | 6% |
| 3 | Brentford | 49.8 | -7 | 6% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 2.8% | < 1% | 7% | 10% | 5% |
| 0 | West Ham | 48.5 | -6 | 7% | 14% | 9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | < 1% | 6% | 8% | 3.9% |
| 0 | Fulham | 48.0 | -7 | 9% | 12% | 8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | < 1% | 6% | 8% | 3.4% |
| 0 | Everton | 46.0 | -12 | 13% | 8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | < 1% | < 1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| 1 | Bournemouth | 45.7 | -12 | 14% | 7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | < 1% | < 1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| 0 | Wolves | 43.9 | -15 | 20% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | < 1% | < 1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 1 | Forest | 40.3 | -21 | 36% | 1.6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.2% | 3.5% | < 1% |
| 1 | Leicester | 40.2 | -21 | 37% | 1.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | < 1% |
| 0 | Southampton | 35.0 | -30 | 66% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.0% | < 1% |
| 0 | Ipswich | 31.6 | -37 | 82% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Team | One Title | Two titles | Three titles | Four titles | Double | Treble | Quadruple |
| Man City | 95.9% | 68% | 26% | 4.1% | 35% | 11% | 4.1% |
| Arsenal | 41% | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.3% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Liverpool | 27% | 2.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Newcastle | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Chelsea | 32% | 1.9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Man United | 15% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Tottenham | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Aston Villa | 4.6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Crystal Palace | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Brighton | 2.2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Brentford | 2.6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| West Ham | 2.6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Fulham | 2.6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Everton | 2.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Bournemouth | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Wolves | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Forest | 2.9% | < 1% | |||||
| Leicester | 2.0% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Southampton | 1.1% | < 1% | |||||
| Ipswich | < 1% | < 1% |
| Important matches for EL race (EL or CL) | |||
| Brighton vs Man United (2%) | Home Win (42%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (34%) |
| Man United | 47% | 52% | 60% |
| Brighton | 21% | 15% | 12% |
| Liverpool | Chelsea | Newcastle | Tottenham | Man United | Aston Villa | Crystal Palace | Brighton | Brentford | West Ham | Fulham | Everton | Bournemouth | Wolves | Forest | Leicester | Southampton | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 75 | 35% | 4.8% | 100% | 2.3% | < 1% | 100% | 2.8% | < 1% | 100% | 1.2% | < 1% | 100% | 1.3% | < 1% | 100% | 1.2% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 74 | 41% | 5% | 100% | 3.1% | < 1% | 100% | 3.7% | < 1% | 100% | 1.7% | < 1% | 100% | 1.9% | < 1% | 100% | 1.7% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 73 | 46% | 5% | >99.99% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 100% | 4.9% | 1.2% | >99.99% | 2.3% | < 1% | 99.9% | 2.6% | < 1% | 100% | 2.3% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 72 | 51% | 5% | >99.99% | 5% | 1.3% | >99.99% | 6% | 1.5% | 100% | 3.1% | < 1% | 99.9% | 3.5% | < 1% | 99.9% | 3.1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 71 | 56% | 5% | >99.99% | 7% | 1.6% | 99.9% | 8% | 1.8% | 99.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 99.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 99.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 99.9% | 1.1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 70 | 62% | 5% | 99.99% | 9% | 1.9% | 99.9% | 10% | 2.1% | 99.9% | 5% | 1.3% | 99.9% | 6% | 1.4% | 99.9% | 5% | 1.3% | 99.9% | 1.5% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 69 | 66% | 4.9% | 99.98% | 11% | 2.3% | 99.9% | 13% | 2.6% | 99.9% | 7% | 1.6% | 99.9% | 8% | 1.7% | 99.9% | 7% | 1.6% | 99.9% | 2.1% | < 1% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 68 | 71% | 4.7% | 99.9% | 14% | 2.7% | 99.8% | 16% | 2.9% | 99.7% | 9% | 2.0% | 99.7% | 10% | 2.1% | 99.7% | 9% | 1.9% | 99.7% | 2.8% | < 1% | 99.7% | 1.3% | < 1% | 99% | 1.0% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 67 | 75% | 4.3% | 99.8% | 17% | 3.1% | 99.7% | 19% | 3.3% | 99.5% | 11% | 2.3% | 99.5% | 12% | 2.4% | 99.4% | 11% | 2.3% | 99.3% | 3.8% | < 1% | 99.1% | 1.8% | < 1% | 99% | 1.4% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 66 | 79% | 3.9% | 99.7% | 21% | 3.5% | 99.3% | 23% | 3.7% | 98.9% | 14% | 2.7% | 98.9% | 15% | 2.8% | 98.9% | 14% | 2.7% | 98.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 99% | 2.5% | < 1% | 98% | 2.0% | < 1% | 98% | 1.3% | < 1% | 99% | 1.1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 65 | 83% | 3.5% | 99.3% | 25% | 3.9% | 98.6% | 27% | 4.1% | 98.1% | 17% | 3.1% | 97.9% | 18% | 3.2% | 97.8% | 17% | 3.1% | 97.6% | 6% | 1.5% | 97% | 3.3% | < 1% | 97% | 2.7% | < 1% | 97% | 1.9% | < 1% | 97% | 1.6% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 64 | 86% | 3.1% | 98.4% | 29% | 4.3% | 97.6% | 31% | 4.4% | 96.5% | 21% | 3.5% | 96.5% | 22% | 3.6% | 96% | 20% | 3.5% | 96% | 8% | 1.8% | 96% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 95% | 3.6% | < 1% | 95% | 2.5% | < 1% | 95% | 2.2% | < 1% | 95% | 1.1% | < 1% | 95% | 1.0% | < 1% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 96% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 63 | 89% | 2.7% | 97% | 34% | 4.6% | 95.7% | 36% | 4.7% | 94% | 25% | 3.9% | 94% | 26% | 4.0% | 94% | 24% | 3.9% | 93% | 10% | 2.1% | 92% | 6% | 1.3% | 91% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 91% | 3.4% | < 1% | 92% | 2.9% | < 1% | 91% | 1.6% | < 1% | 91% | 1.4% | < 1% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 93% | < 1% | < 1% | 93% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 62 | 91% | 2.3% | 94% | 38% | 4.8% | 93% | 41% | 4.9% | 90% | 29% | 4.3% | 91% | 30% | 4.3% | 89% | 29% | 4.2% | 88% | 13% | 2.5% | 88% | 7% | 1.6% | 86% | 6% | 1.4% | 86% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 86% | 3.9% | < 1% | 86% | 2.2% | < 1% | 87% | 2.0% | < 1% | 86% | 1.1% | < 1% | 86% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 61 | 93% | 1.9% | 90% | 43% | 5% | 89% | 46% | 5% | 84% | 33% | 4.5% | 85% | 35% | 4.6% | 84% | 33% | 4.6% | 82% | 16% | 2.9% | 81% | 9% | 2.0% | 78% | 8% | 1.8% | 78% | 6% | 1.4% | 79% | 5% | 1.2% | 79% | 2.9% | < 1% | 78% | 2.7% | < 1% | 79% | 1.5% | < 1% | 79% | < 1% | < 1% | 81% | < 1% | < 1% | 78% | < 1% | < 1% | 87% |
| 60 | 95% | 1.6% | 83% | 49% | 5% | 83% | 51% | 5% | 77% | 38% | 4.8% | 78% | 40% | 4.9% | 76% | 38% | 4.8% | 73% | 19% | 3.3% | 72% | 12% | 2.3% | 69% | 10% | 2.1% | 68% | 8% | 1.7% | 69% | 7% | 1.5% | 69% | 3.9% | < 1% | 69% | 3.6% | < 1% | 68% | 2.1% | < 1% | 69% | < 1% | < 1% | 70% | < 1% | < 1% | 69% | < 1% | < 1% | 75% |
| 59 | 95.9% | 1.3% | 74% | 54% | 5% | 75% | 56% | 5% | 67% | 43% | 5.0% | 69% | 45% | 5% | 67% | 43% | 5% | 63% | 23% | 3.8% | 61% | 14% | 2.7% | 58% | 13% | 2.5% | 57% | 10% | 2.0% | 57% | 8% | 1.8% | 58% | 5% | 1.2% | 56% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 57% | 2.8% | < 1% | 56% | < 1% | < 1% | 61% | < 1% | < 1% | 60% | < 1% | < 1% | 58% |
| 58 | 96.9% | 1.0% | 63% | 59% | 5% | 67% | 62% | 5% | 55% | 48% | 5% | 58% | 50% | 5% | 56% | 48% | 5% | 50% | 27% | 4.1% | 49% | 18% | 3.2% | 45% | 15% | 2.9% | 43% | 12% | 2.4% | 44% | 11% | 2.2% | 45% | 7% | 1.5% | 43% | 6% | 1.4% | 44% | 3.7% | < 1% | 44% | 1.1% | < 1% | 47% | 1.1% | < 1% | 46% | < 1% | < 1% | 47% |
| 57 | 97.7% | < 1% | 51% | 64% | 5.0% | 58% | 66% | 4.8% | 43% | 54% | 5% | 47% | 55% | 5% | 44% | 53% | 5% | 38% | 31% | 4.5% | 37% | 21% | 3.6% | 32% | 19% | 3.3% | 31% | 15% | 2.8% | 32% | 13% | 2.6% | 32% | 8% | 1.8% | 30% | 8% | 1.7% | 31% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 31% | 1.6% | < 1% | 34% | 1.5% | < 1% | 33% | < 1% | < 1% | 34% |
| 56 | 98.3% | < 1% | 39% | 69% | 4.7% | 49% | 71% | 4.6% | 30% | 59% | 5% | 37% | 60% | 5% | 33% | 58% | 5% | 26% | 36% | 4.7% | 26% | 25% | 3.9% | 21% | 22% | 3.7% | 20% | 18% | 3.2% | 22% | 16% | 3.0% | 21% | 11% | 2.2% | 19% | 10% | 2.1% | 20% | 6% | 1.5% | 19% | 2.2% | < 1% | 23% | 2.0% | < 1% | 21% | < 1% | < 1% | 22% |
| 55 | 98.8% | < 1% | 28% | 73% | 4.5% | 40% | 75% | 4.3% | 20% | 64% | 5.0% | 28% | 65% | 4.9% | 25% | 63% | 5.0% | 16% | 41% | 4.9% | 17% | 29% | 4.3% | 12% | 26% | 4.1% | 12% | 21% | 3.6% | 13% | 20% | 3.4% | 12% | 13% | 2.5% | 11% | 12% | 2.4% | 12% | 8% | 1.7% | 11% | 2.9% | < 1% | 13% | 2.8% | < 1% | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | 14% |
| 54 | 99.15% | < 1% | 21% | 77% | 4.1% | 35% | 79% | 3.9% | 13% | 68% | 4.8% | 21% | 70% | 4.7% | 19% | 68% | 4.8% | 9% | 46% | 5% | 11% | 34% | 4.6% | 7% | 31% | 4.4% | 7% | 25% | 4.0% | 7% | 23% | 3.8% | 7% | 16% | 3.0% | 6% | 15% | 2.8% | 6% | 10% | 2.1% | 6% | 3.9% | < 1% | 8% | 3.7% | < 1% | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | 7% |
| 53 | 99.41% | < 1% | 17% | 81% | 3.7% | 31% | 83% | 3.5% | 8% | 73% | 4.5% | 18% | 74% | 4.4% | 15% | 73% | 4.5% | 5% | 51% | 5% | 7% | 39% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 36% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 30% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 28% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 20% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 18% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 13% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5% | 1.2% | 5% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% |
| 52 | 99.59% | < 1% | 13% | 84% | 3.3% | 29% | 86% | 3.2% | 6% | 77% | 4.1% | 16% | 78% | 4.0% | 13% | 77% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 57% | 5% | 4.9% | 44% | 5% | 1.6% | 40% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 34% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 32% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 23% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 22% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 16% | 2.9% | < 1% | 7% | 1.6% | 3% | 6% | 1.5% | 2% | 1.3% | < 1% | 2% |
| 51 | 99.73% | < 1% | 13% | 87% | 2.9% | 28% | 89% | 2.7% | 5% | 81% | 3.8% | 15% | 82% | 3.6% | 11% | 81% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 62% | 5% | 3.9% | 49% | 5% | 1.0% | 46% | 5% | 1.4% | 39% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 37% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 27% | 4.2% | < 1% | 26% | 4.1% | < 1% | 19% | 3.3% | < 1% | 9% | 1.9% | 3% | 8% | 1.8% | 2% | 1.8% | < 1% | 1% |
| 50 | 99.82% | < 1% | 13% | 90% | 2.5% | 28% | 91% | 2.3% | 4% | 84% | 3.4% | 15% | 85% | 3.2% | 11% | 84% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 66% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 55% | 5% | < 1% | 51% | 5% | 1.3% | 44% | 5% | 1.5% | 42% | 5% | 1.4% | 32% | 4.5% | < 1% | 31% | 4.4% | < 1% | 23% | 3.7% | < 1% | 11% | 2.2% | 3% | 10% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 49 | 99.88% | < 1% | 14% | 92% | 2.2% | 28% | 93% | 2.0% | 4% | 87% | 3.0% | 14% | 88% | 2.9% | 11% | 87% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 71% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 60% | 5% | < 1% | 56% | 5% | 1.4% | 50% | 5% | 1.4% | 47% | 5% | 1.2% | 37% | 4.8% | < 1% | 35% | 4.7% | < 1% | 27% | 4.1% | < 1% | 13% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 13% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 48 | 99.93% | < 1% | 10% | 94% | 1.8% | 28% | 94% | 1.6% | 4% | 90% | 2.5% | 14% | 90% | 2.5% | 12% | 90% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 75% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 65% | 5% | < 1% | 61% | 5% | 1.3% | 55% | 5% | 1.4% | 52% | 5% | 1.2% | 42% | 5% | < 1% | 40% | 5.0% | < 1% | 31% | 4.5% | < 1% | 16% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 16% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 1% |
| 47 | 99.95% | < 1% | 13% | 95.1% | 1.5% | 28% | 95.8% | 1.3% | 4% | 92% | 2.2% | 14% | 92% | 2.0% | 11% | 92% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 79% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 69% | 4.8% | < 1% | 66% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 60% | 5% | 1.4% | 57% | 5% | 1.2% | 47% | 5% | < 1% | 45% | 5% | < 1% | 36% | 4.8% | < 1% | 20% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 19% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 6% | 1.4% | < 1% |
| 46 | 99.97% | < 1% | 12% | 96.3% | 1.2% | 28% | 96.9% | 1.1% | 4% | 94% | 1.8% | 14% | 94% | 1.7% | 11% | 94% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 83% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 74% | 4.5% | < 1% | 71% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 65% | 5% | 1.4% | 63% | 5% | 1.3% | 52% | 5% | < 1% | 51% | 5% | < 1% | 41% | 5% | < 1% | 24% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 23% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 8% | 1.7% | < 1% |
| 45 | 99.98% | < 1% | - | 97.3% | < 1% | 28% | 97.7% | < 1% | 4% | 95.2% | 1.5% | 14% | 95.5% | 1.4% | 12% | 95.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 86% | 3.2% | 4% | 78% | 4.1% | < 1% | 75% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 70% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 67% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 57% | 5% | < 1% | 56% | 5% | < 1% | 46% | 5% | < 1% | 28% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 27% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 10% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| 44 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 98.0% | < 1% | 28% | 98.3% | < 1% | 5% | 96.3% | 1.2% | 15% | 96.6% | 1.1% | 11% | 96.3% | 1.2% | 1% | 89% | 2.7% | 4% | 82% | 3.8% | < 1% | 79% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 74% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 72% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 63% | 5% | < 1% | 61% | 5% | < 1% | 52% | 5% | < 1% | 33% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 32% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 12% | 2.4% | < 1% |
| 43 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 98.6% | < 1% | 29% | 98.8% | < 1% | 4% | 97.3% | < 1% | 14% | 97.5% | < 1% | 11% | 97.3% | < 1% | 1% | 91% | 2.3% | 4% | 85% | 3.3% | < 1% | 83% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 78% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 76% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 68% | 4.9% | < 1% | 66% | 5% | < 1% | 57% | 5% | < 1% | 38% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 37% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 15% | 2.9% | < 1% |
| 42 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.0% | < 1% | 27% | 99.15% | < 1% | 4% | 98.0% | < 1% | 15% | 98.2% | < 1% | 11% | 98.0% | < 1% | 1% | 93% | 1.9% | 4% | 88% | 2.9% | < 1% | 86% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 82% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 80% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 72% | 4.7% | < 1% | 71% | 4.8% | < 1% | 62% | 5% | < 1% | 43% | 5% | 2.5% | 42% | 5% | 1.5% | 18% | 3.4% | < 1% |
| 41 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.29% | < 1% | 28% | 99.41% | < 1% | 4% | 98.6% | < 1% | 14% | 98.7% | < 1% | 12% | 98.6% | < 1% | 1% | 95% | 1.6% | 4% | 91% | 2.5% | < 1% | 89% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 85% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 84% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 76% | 4.3% | < 1% | 75% | 4.4% | < 1% | 67% | 5% | < 1% | 48% | 5% | 2.5% | 48% | 5% | 1.4% | 22% | 3.7% | < 1% |
| 40 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.51% | < 1% | 28% | 99.60% | < 1% | 5% | 99.0% | < 1% | 15% | 99.10% | < 1% | 12% | 99.01% | < 1% | 1% | 96.0% | 1.3% | 4% | 93% | 2.1% | < 1% | 91% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 88% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 87% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 80% | 3.9% | < 1% | 79% | 4.1% | < 1% | 72% | 4.7% | < 1% | 54% | 5% | 2.7% | 53% | 5% | 1.4% | 26% | 4.2% | < 1% |
| Important matches for Europe race (ECL, EL or CL) | |||
| Brighton vs Man United (2.1%) | Home Win (42%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (34%) |
| Brighton | 30% | 23% | 19% |
| Man United | 57% | 62% | 70% |
| Liverpool | Chelsea | Newcastle | Tottenham | Man United | Aston Villa | Crystal Palace | Brighton | Brentford | West Ham | Fulham | Everton | Bournemouth | Wolves | Forest | Leicester | Southampton | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 75 | 35% | 4.8% | 100% | 2.3% | < 1% | 100% | 2.8% | < 1% | 100% | 1.2% | < 1% | 100% | 1.3% | < 1% | 100% | 1.2% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 74 | 41% | 5% | 100% | 3.1% | < 1% | 100% | 3.7% | < 1% | 100% | 1.7% | < 1% | 100% | 1.9% | < 1% | 100% | 1.7% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 73 | 46% | 5% | 100% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 100% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 100% | 2.3% | < 1% | 99.9% | 2.6% | < 1% | 100% | 2.3% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 72 | 51% | 5% | 100% | 5% | 1.3% | 100% | 6% | 1.5% | 100% | 3.1% | < 1% | 100% | 3.5% | < 1% | 99.9% | 3.1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 71 | 56% | 5% | 100% | 7% | 1.6% | 100% | 8% | 1.8% | 100% | 4.2% | 1.0% | >99.99% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 100% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 99.9% | 1.1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 70 | 62% | 5% | >99.99% | 9% | 1.9% | >99.99% | 10% | 2.1% | 100% | 5% | 1.3% | 100% | 6% | 1.4% | 99.9% | 5% | 1.3% | >99.99% | 1.5% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 69 | 66% | 4.9% | >99.99% | 11% | 2.3% | 99.98% | 13% | 2.6% | 99.98% | 7% | 1.6% | 99.9% | 8% | 1.7% | 99.99% | 7% | 1.6% | 99.9% | 2.1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 68 | 71% | 4.7% | >99.99% | 14% | 2.7% | 99.97% | 16% | 2.9% | 99.9% | 9% | 2.0% | 99.9% | 10% | 2.1% | 99.9% | 9% | 1.9% | 99.9% | 2.8% | < 1% | 99.9% | 1.3% | < 1% | 99.9% | 1.0% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 67 | 75% | 4.3% | 99.98% | 17% | 3.1% | 99.9% | 19% | 3.3% | 99.9% | 11% | 2.3% | 99.9% | 12% | 2.4% | 99.8% | 11% | 2.3% | 99.8% | 3.8% | < 1% | 99.8% | 1.8% | < 1% | 99.8% | 1.4% | < 1% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 66 | 79% | 3.9% | 99.9% | 21% | 3.5% | 99.8% | 23% | 3.7% | 99.7% | 14% | 2.7% | 99.7% | 15% | 2.8% | 99.7% | 14% | 2.7% | 99.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 99.7% | 2.5% | < 1% | 99.6% | 2.0% | < 1% | 99.7% | 1.3% | < 1% | 99.7% | 1.1% | < 1% | 99.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 65 | 83% | 3.5% | 99.8% | 25% | 3.9% | 99.7% | 27% | 4.1% | 99.5% | 17% | 3.1% | 99.4% | 18% | 3.2% | 99.5% | 17% | 3.1% | 99.4% | 6% | 1.5% | 99.2% | 3.3% | < 1% | 99.3% | 2.7% | < 1% | 99.3% | 1.9% | < 1% | 99% | 1.6% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 64 | 86% | 3.1% | 99.6% | 29% | 4.3% | 99.4% | 31% | 4.4% | 99.1% | 21% | 3.5% | 99.1% | 22% | 3.6% | 98.9% | 20% | 3.5% | 98.8% | 8% | 1.8% | 98.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 99% | 3.6% | < 1% | 99% | 2.5% | < 1% | 99% | 2.2% | < 1% | 98% | 1.1% | < 1% | 99% | 1.0% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 63 | 89% | 2.7% | 99.1% | 34% | 4.6% | 98.8% | 36% | 4.7% | 98.3% | 25% | 3.9% | 98.2% | 26% | 4.0% | 98.2% | 24% | 3.9% | 97.9% | 10% | 2.1% | 98% | 6% | 1.3% | 97% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 97% | 3.4% | < 1% | 97% | 2.9% | < 1% | 97% | 1.6% | < 1% | 97% | 1.4% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 62 | 91% | 2.3% | 98.2% | 38% | 4.8% | 97.8% | 41% | 4.9% | 96.9% | 29% | 4.3% | 97.0% | 30% | 4.3% | 96.7% | 29% | 4.2% | 96.3% | 13% | 2.5% | 96% | 7% | 1.6% | 95% | 6% | 1.4% | 95% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 95% | 3.9% | < 1% | 95% | 2.2% | < 1% | 95% | 2.0% | < 1% | 95% | 1.1% | < 1% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 61 | 93% | 1.9% | 97% | 43% | 5% | 96.0% | 46% | 5% | 95% | 33% | 4.5% | 95% | 35% | 4.6% | 94% | 33% | 4.6% | 94% | 16% | 2.9% | 93% | 9% | 2.0% | 91% | 8% | 1.8% | 91% | 6% | 1.4% | 92% | 5% | 1.2% | 92% | 2.9% | < 1% | 91% | 2.7% | < 1% | 92% | 1.5% | < 1% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 93% | < 1% | < 1% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 96% |
| 60 | 95% | 1.6% | 94% | 49% | 5% | 93% | 51% | 5% | 91% | 38% | 4.8% | 91% | 40% | 4.9% | 91% | 38% | 4.8% | 89% | 19% | 3.3% | 88% | 12% | 2.3% | 87% | 10% | 2.1% | 86% | 8% | 1.7% | 86% | 7% | 1.5% | 86% | 3.9% | < 1% | 87% | 3.6% | < 1% | 86% | 2.1% | < 1% | 86% | < 1% | < 1% | 87% | < 1% | < 1% | 87% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% |
| 59 | 95.9% | 1.3% | 90% | 54% | 5% | 89% | 56% | 5% | 85% | 43% | 5.0% | 86% | 45% | 5% | 85% | 43% | 5% | 83% | 23% | 3.8% | 82% | 14% | 2.7% | 80% | 13% | 2.5% | 79% | 10% | 2.0% | 79% | 8% | 1.8% | 79% | 5% | 1.2% | 78% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 78% | 2.8% | < 1% | 78% | < 1% | < 1% | 80% | < 1% | < 1% | 80% | < 1% | < 1% | 80% |
| 58 | 96.9% | 1.0% | 83% | 59% | 5% | 84% | 62% | 5% | 78% | 48% | 5% | 79% | 50% | 5% | 77% | 48% | 5% | 75% | 27% | 4.1% | 73% | 18% | 3.2% | 70% | 15% | 2.9% | 68% | 12% | 2.4% | 69% | 11% | 2.2% | 70% | 7% | 1.5% | 68% | 6% | 1.4% | 69% | 3.7% | < 1% | 68% | 1.1% | < 1% | 69% | 1.1% | < 1% | 69% | < 1% | < 1% | 71% |
| 57 | 97.7% | < 1% | 75% | 64% | 5.0% | 77% | 66% | 4.8% | 68% | 54% | 5% | 70% | 55% | 5% | 68% | 53% | 5% | 64% | 31% | 4.5% | 63% | 21% | 3.6% | 58% | 19% | 3.3% | 57% | 15% | 2.8% | 57% | 13% | 2.6% | 57% | 8% | 1.8% | 55% | 8% | 1.7% | 56% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 56% | 1.6% | < 1% | 58% | 1.5% | < 1% | 58% | < 1% | < 1% | 59% |
| 56 | 98.3% | < 1% | 65% | 69% | 4.7% | 68% | 71% | 4.6% | 56% | 59% | 5% | 60% | 60% | 5% | 57% | 58% | 5% | 53% | 36% | 4.7% | 51% | 25% | 3.9% | 45% | 22% | 3.7% | 44% | 18% | 3.2% | 45% | 16% | 3.0% | 45% | 11% | 2.2% | 42% | 10% | 2.1% | 42% | 6% | 1.5% | 43% | 2.2% | < 1% | 45% | 2.0% | < 1% | 44% | < 1% | < 1% | 44% |
| 55 | 98.8% | < 1% | 53% | 73% | 4.5% | 58% | 75% | 4.3% | 43% | 64% | 5.0% | 48% | 65% | 4.9% | 46% | 63% | 5.0% | 39% | 41% | 4.9% | 38% | 29% | 4.3% | 33% | 26% | 4.1% | 32% | 21% | 3.6% | 32% | 20% | 3.4% | 32% | 13% | 2.5% | 30% | 12% | 2.4% | 30% | 8% | 1.7% | 29% | 2.9% | < 1% | 32% | 2.8% | < 1% | 31% | < 1% | < 1% | 32% |
| 54 | 99.15% | < 1% | 44% | 77% | 4.1% | 50% | 79% | 3.9% | 31% | 68% | 4.8% | 38% | 70% | 4.7% | 36% | 68% | 4.8% | 28% | 46% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 4.6% | 22% | 31% | 4.4% | 21% | 25% | 4.0% | 22% | 23% | 3.8% | 21% | 16% | 3.0% | 19% | 15% | 2.8% | 19% | 10% | 2.1% | 19% | 3.9% | < 1% | 21% | 3.7% | < 1% | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | 20% |
| 53 | 99.41% | < 1% | 36% | 81% | 3.7% | 42% | 83% | 3.5% | 21% | 73% | 4.5% | 30% | 74% | 4.4% | 27% | 73% | 4.5% | 18% | 51% | 5% | 18% | 39% | 4.9% | 13% | 36% | 4.7% | 12% | 30% | 4.3% | 13% | 28% | 4.2% | 13% | 20% | 3.4% | 12% | 18% | 3.2% | 11% | 13% | 2.5% | 11% | 5% | 1.2% | 12% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | 11% |
| 52 | 99.59% | < 1% | 27% | 84% | 3.3% | 37% | 86% | 3.2% | 14% | 77% | 4.1% | 24% | 78% | 4.0% | 21% | 77% | 4.2% | 12% | 57% | 5% | 12% | 44% | 5% | 8% | 40% | 4.9% | 8% | 34% | 4.7% | 8% | 32% | 4.5% | 8% | 23% | 3.8% | 7% | 22% | 3.7% | 6% | 16% | 2.9% | 5% | 7% | 1.6% | 7% | 6% | 1.5% | 6% | 1.3% | < 1% | 6% |
| 51 | 99.73% | < 1% | 27% | 87% | 2.9% | 34% | 89% | 2.7% | 10% | 81% | 3.8% | 21% | 82% | 3.6% | 17% | 81% | 3.8% | 8% | 62% | 5% | 9% | 49% | 5% | 4.6% | 46% | 5% | 4.5% | 39% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 37% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 27% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 26% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 19% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 9% | 1.9% | 5% | 8% | 1.8% | 4% | 1.8% | < 1% | 3% |
| 50 | 99.82% | < 1% | 24% | 90% | 2.5% | 32% | 91% | 2.3% | 8% | 84% | 3.4% | 19% | 85% | 3.2% | 16% | 84% | 3.4% | 6% | 66% | 4.9% | 7% | 55% | 5% | 3.3% | 51% | 5% | 3.3% | 44% | 5% | 3.5% | 42% | 5% | 3.3% | 32% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 31% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 23% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 11% | 2.2% | 4% | 10% | 2.2% | 3% | 2.5% | < 1% | 2% |
| 49 | 99.88% | < 1% | 24% | 92% | 2.2% | 32% | 93% | 2.0% | 7% | 87% | 3.0% | 18% | 88% | 2.9% | 15% | 87% | 3.0% | 5% | 71% | 4.6% | 7% | 60% | 5% | 2.6% | 56% | 5% | 3.0% | 50% | 5% | 2.9% | 47% | 5% | 2.9% | 37% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 35% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 27% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 13% | 2.6% | 3% | 13% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | < 1% | 1% |
| 48 | 99.93% | < 1% | 21% | 94% | 1.8% | 32% | 94% | 1.6% | 7% | 90% | 2.5% | 18% | 90% | 2.5% | 15% | 90% | 2.6% | 5% | 75% | 4.3% | 6% | 65% | 5% | 2.2% | 61% | 5% | 2.6% | 55% | 5% | 2.7% | 52% | 5% | 2.7% | 42% | 5% | 2.1% | 40% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 31% | 4.5% | < 1% | 16% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 16% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 1% |
| 47 | 99.95% | < 1% | 20% | 95.1% | 1.5% | 32% | 95.8% | 1.3% | 7% | 92% | 2.2% | 18% | 92% | 2.0% | 15% | 92% | 2.2% | 5% | 79% | 3.9% | 6% | 69% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 66% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 60% | 5% | 2.6% | 57% | 5% | 2.7% | 47% | 5% | 2.2% | 45% | 5% | < 1% | 36% | 4.8% | < 1% | 20% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 19% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 6% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| 46 | 99.97% | < 1% | 27% | 96.3% | 1.2% | 32% | 96.9% | 1.1% | 7% | 94% | 1.8% | 18% | 94% | 1.7% | 15% | 94% | 1.8% | 4% | 83% | 3.5% | 6% | 74% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 71% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 65% | 5% | 2.6% | 63% | 5% | 2.7% | 52% | 5% | 2.2% | 51% | 5% | 1.0% | 41% | 5% | < 1% | 24% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 23% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| 45 | 99.98% | < 1% | - | 97.3% | < 1% | 32% | 97.7% | < 1% | 7% | 95.2% | 1.5% | 18% | 95.5% | 1.4% | 15% | 95.1% | 1.5% | 4% | 86% | 3.2% | 6% | 78% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 75% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 70% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 67% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 57% | 5% | 2.2% | 56% | 5% | < 1% | 46% | 5% | < 1% | 28% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 27% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 10% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| 44 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 98.0% | < 1% | 32% | 98.3% | < 1% | 7% | 96.3% | 1.2% | 18% | 96.6% | 1.1% | 14% | 96.3% | 1.2% | 5% | 89% | 2.7% | 6% | 82% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 79% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 74% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 72% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 63% | 5% | 2.2% | 61% | 5% | < 1% | 52% | 5% | < 1% | 33% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 32% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 12% | 2.4% | < 1% |
| 43 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 98.6% | < 1% | 32% | 98.8% | < 1% | 7% | 97.3% | < 1% | 18% | 97.5% | < 1% | 14% | 97.3% | < 1% | 4% | 91% | 2.3% | 6% | 85% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 83% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 78% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 76% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 68% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 66% | 5% | 1.1% | 57% | 5% | < 1% | 38% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 37% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 15% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 42 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.0% | < 1% | 31% | 99.15% | < 1% | 7% | 98.0% | < 1% | 19% | 98.2% | < 1% | 15% | 98.0% | < 1% | 4% | 93% | 1.9% | 6% | 88% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 86% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 82% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 80% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 72% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 71% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 62% | 5% | < 1% | 43% | 5% | 2.8% | 42% | 5% | 2.1% | 18% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 41 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.29% | < 1% | 31% | 99.41% | < 1% | 7% | 98.6% | < 1% | 17% | 98.7% | < 1% | 15% | 98.6% | < 1% | 5% | 95% | 1.6% | 6% | 91% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 89% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 85% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 84% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 76% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 75% | 4.4% | < 1% | 67% | 5% | < 1% | 48% | 5% | 2.8% | 48% | 5% | 2.0% | 22% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Important matches for avoiding relegation | |||
| Southampton vs Forest (3%) | Home Win (44%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (32%) |
| Southampton | 41% | 31% | 26% |
| Forest | 57% | 63% | 73% |
| Ipswich | Southampton | Leicester | Forest | Wolves | Bournemouth | Everton | Fulham | West Ham | Brentford | Brighton | Crystal Palace | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 58 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.1% | < 1% | 100% | 3.7% | < 1% | 100% | 6% | 1.4% | 100% | 7% | 1.5% | 100% | 11% | 2.2% | 100% | 12% | 2.4% | 100% | 15% | 2.9% | 100% | 18% | 3.2% | 100% | 27% | 4.1% | 100% |
| 57 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.5% | < 1% | 100% | 1.6% | < 1% | 100% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 100% | 8% | 1.7% | 100% | 8% | 1.8% | 100% | 13% | 2.6% | 100% | 15% | 2.8% | 100% | 19% | 3.3% | 100% | 21% | 3.6% | 100% | 31% | 4.5% | 100% |
| 56 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 2.0% | < 1% | 100% | 2.2% | < 1% | 100% | 6% | 1.5% | 100% | 10% | 2.1% | 100% | 11% | 2.2% | 100% | 16% | 3.0% | 100% | 18% | 3.2% | 100% | 22% | 3.7% | 100% | 25% | 3.9% | 100% | 36% | 4.7% | 100% |
| 55 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 2.8% | < 1% | 100% | 2.9% | < 1% | 100% | 8% | 1.7% | 100% | 12% | 2.4% | 100% | 13% | 2.5% | 100% | 20% | 3.4% | 100% | 21% | 3.6% | 100% | 26% | 4.1% | 100% | 29% | 4.3% | 100% | 41% | 4.9% | 100% |
| 54 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 3.7% | < 1% | 100% | 3.9% | < 1% | 100% | 10% | 2.1% | 100% | 15% | 2.8% | 100% | 16% | 3.0% | 100% | 23% | 3.8% | 100% | 25% | 4.0% | 100% | 31% | 4.4% | 100% | 34% | 4.6% | 100% | 46% | 5% | 100% |
| 53 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 100% | 5% | 1.2% | 100% | 13% | 2.5% | 100% | 18% | 3.2% | 100% | 20% | 3.4% | 100% | 28% | 4.2% | 100% | 30% | 4.3% | 100% | 36% | 4.7% | 100% | 39% | 4.9% | 100% | 51% | 5% | 100% |
| 52 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.3% | < 1% | 100% | 6% | 1.5% | 100% | 7% | 1.6% | 100% | 16% | 2.9% | 100% | 22% | 3.7% | 100% | 23% | 3.8% | 100% | 32% | 4.5% | 100% | 34% | 4.7% | 100% | 40% | 4.9% | 100% | 44% | 5% | 100% | 57% | 5% | 100% |
| 51 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.8% | < 1% | 100% | 8% | 1.8% | 100% | 9% | 1.9% | 100% | 19% | 3.3% | 100% | 26% | 4.1% | 100% | 27% | 4.2% | 100% | 37% | 4.8% | 100% | 39% | 4.9% | 100% | 46% | 5% | 100% | 49% | 5% | 100% | 62% | 5% | 100% |
| 50 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 2.5% | < 1% | 100% | 10% | 2.2% | 100% | 11% | 2.2% | 100% | 23% | 3.7% | 100% | 31% | 4.4% | 100% | 32% | 4.5% | 100% | 42% | 5% | 100% | 44% | 5% | 100% | 51% | 5% | 100% | 55% | 5% | 100% | 66% | 4.9% | 100% |
| 49 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 3.3% | < 1% | 100% | 13% | 2.6% | 100% | 13% | 2.6% | 100% | 27% | 4.1% | 100% | 35% | 4.7% | 100% | 37% | 4.8% | 100% | 47% | 5% | 100% | 50% | 5% | 100% | 56% | 5% | 100% | 60% | 5% | 100% | 71% | 4.6% | 100% |
| 48 | 1.4% | < 1% | 100% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 100% | 16% | 3.0% | 100% | 16% | 3.1% | 100% | 31% | 4.5% | >99.99% | 40% | 5.0% | 100% | 42% | 5% | 100% | 52% | 5% | 100% | 55% | 5% | >99.99% | 61% | 5% | 100% | 65% | 5% | 100% | 75% | 4.3% | 100% |
| 47 | 1.9% | < 1% | 99.9% | 6% | 1.4% | >99.99% | 19% | 3.4% | >99.99% | 20% | 3.5% | 100% | 36% | 4.8% | >99.99% | 45% | 5% | >99.99% | 47% | 5% | >99.99% | 57% | 5% | 100% | 60% | 5% | 100% | 66% | 5.0% | >99.99% | 69% | 4.8% | >99.99% | 79% | 3.9% | 100% |
| 46 | 2.7% | < 1% | 99.9% | 8% | 1.7% | 99.9% | 23% | 3.9% | 99.9% | 24% | 3.9% | 99.9% | 41% | 5% | 99.97% | 51% | 5% | 99.97% | 52% | 5% | 99.97% | 63% | 5% | 99.98% | 65% | 5% | 99.98% | 71% | 4.8% | 99.98% | 74% | 4.5% | 99.99% | 83% | 3.5% | >99.99% |
| 45 | 3.6% | < 1% | 99.7% | 10% | 2.1% | 99.7% | 27% | 4.2% | 99.8% | 28% | 4.3% | 99.8% | 46% | 5% | 99.9% | 56% | 5% | 99.9% | 57% | 5% | 99.9% | 67% | 4.9% | 99.9% | 70% | 4.8% | 99.9% | 75% | 4.4% | 99.9% | 78% | 4.1% | 99.9% | 86% | 3.2% | 99.9% |
| 44 | 4.8% | 1.2% | 98.9% | 12% | 2.4% | 98.8% | 32% | 4.6% | 99.3% | 33% | 4.6% | 99.3% | 52% | 5% | 99.5% | 61% | 5% | 99.6% | 63% | 5% | 99.6% | 72% | 4.6% | 99.7% | 74% | 4.5% | 99.7% | 79% | 4.0% | 99.7% | 82% | 3.8% | 99.7% | 89% | 2.7% | 99.7% |
| 43 | 6% | 1.5% | 97% | 15% | 2.9% | 97.0% | 37% | 5.0% | 97.9% | 38% | 5.0% | 98.0% | 57% | 5% | 98.6% | 66% | 5% | 98.8% | 68% | 4.9% | 98.6% | 76% | 4.3% | 98.9% | 78% | 4.1% | 99.0% | 83% | 3.7% | 98.7% | 85% | 3.3% | 99.0% | 91% | 2.3% | 99.0% |
| 42 | 8% | 1.9% | 92% | 18% | 3.4% | 93% | 42% | 5% | 95% | 43% | 5% | 95% | 62% | 5% | 96.2% | 71% | 4.8% | 96.6% | 72% | 4.7% | 96.6% | 80% | 3.9% | 97.0% | 82% | 3.7% | 97.1% | 86% | 3.2% | 97% | 88% | 2.9% | 97.1% | 93% | 1.9% | 97% |
| 41 | 10% | 2.2% | 83% | 22% | 3.7% | 85% | 48% | 5% | 89% | 48% | 5% | 89% | 67% | 5% | 92% | 75% | 4.4% | 93% | 76% | 4.3% | 92% | 84% | 3.5% | 93% | 85% | 3.3% | 93% | 89% | 2.7% | 93% | 91% | 2.5% | 94% | 95% | 1.6% | 93% |
| 40 | 13% | 2.7% | 72% | 26% | 4.2% | 74% | 53% | 5% | 80% | 54% | 5% | 81% | 72% | 4.7% | 84% | 79% | 4.1% | 85% | 80% | 3.9% | 85% | 87% | 3.1% | 86% | 88% | 2.9% | 87% | 91% | 2.4% | 86% | 93% | 2.1% | 86% | 96.0% | 1.3% | 87% |
| 39 | 16% | 3.1% | 57% | 31% | 4.6% | 61% | 58% | 5% | 69% | 59% | 5% | 69% | 76% | 4.4% | 74% | 83% | 3.6% | 76% | 84% | 3.5% | 75% | 89% | 2.7% | 76% | 91% | 2.5% | 77% | 93% | 2.0% | 75% | 94% | 1.7% | 77% | 97.0% | 1.0% | 76% |
| 38 | 20% | 3.6% | 42% | 36% | 4.9% | 47% | 64% | 5% | 56% | 64% | 5% | 56% | 80% | 4.0% | 61% | 86% | 3.2% | 63% | 87% | 3.1% | 62% | 92% | 2.3% | 63% | 93% | 2.1% | 65% | 95% | 1.6% | 62% | 95.8% | 1.4% | 64% | 97.8% | < 1% | 64% |
| 37 | 24% | 4.1% | 29% | 41% | 5% | 33% | 69% | 5% | 42% | 69% | 5% | 42% | 84% | 3.6% | 47% | 89% | 2.8% | 49% | 90% | 2.7% | 49% | 94% | 1.9% | 50% | 94% | 1.7% | 50% | 96.2% | 1.3% | 49% | 96.9% | 1.1% | 51% | 98.4% | < 1% | 50% |
| 36 | 28% | 4.5% | 18% | 47% | 5% | 21% | 73% | 4.8% | 30% | 74% | 4.7% | 30% | 87% | 3.2% | 34% | 91% | 2.4% | 36% | 92% | 2.2% | 35% | 95.2% | 1.5% | 36% | 95.8% | 1.4% | 37% | 97.2% | 1.0% | 35% | 97.8% | < 1% | 36% | 98.9% | < 1% | 36% |
| 35 | 33% | 4.9% | 11% | 52% | 6% | 13% | 78% | 4.4% | 19% | 78% | 4.3% | 20% | 90% | 2.7% | 23% | 93% | 2.0% | 24% | 94% | 1.9% | 24% | 96.4% | 1.2% | 25% | 96.9% | 1.1% | 25% | 98.0% | < 1% | 23% | 98.4% | < 1% | 24% | 99.23% | < 1% | 23% |
| 34 | 38% | 5% | 6% | 58% | 6% | 7% | 82% | 4.0% | 12% | 82% | 3.9% | 12% | 92% | 2.3% | 15% | 95.0% | 1.6% | 16% | 95.3% | 1.5% | 15% | 97.4% | < 1% | 16% | 97.8% | < 1% | 16% | 98.6% | < 1% | 15% | 98.9% | < 1% | 15% | 99.48% | < 1% | 16% |
| 33 | 44% | 6% | 2.7% | 63% | 5% | 3.9% | 85% | 3.5% | 7% | 86% | 3.4% | 7% | 94% | 1.9% | 8% | 96.3% | 1.3% | 10% | 96.5% | 1.2% | 8% | 98.1% | < 1% | 9% | 98.4% | < 1% | 9% | 99.00% | < 1% | 8% | 99.24% | < 1% | 9% | 99.65% | < 1% | 9% |
| 32 | 50% | 6% | 1.2% | 68% | 5% | 1.9% | 88% | 3.0% | 4% | 89% | 3.0% | 3% | 95.3% | 1.5% | 5% | 97.3% | < 1% | 5% | 97.5% | < 1% | 5% | 98.7% | < 1% | 5% | 98.9% | < 1% | 5% | 99.33% | < 1% | 5% | 99.50% | < 1% | 4% | 99.78% | < 1% | 4% |
| 31 | 55% | 6% | < 1% | 73% | 5.0% | < 1% | 91% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 91% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 96.5% | 1.2% | 3% | 98.1% | < 1% | 2% | 98.2% | < 1% | 2% | 99.09% | < 1% | 2% | 99.24% | < 1% | 2% | 99.56% | < 1% | 2% | 99.67% | < 1% | 2% | 99.86% | < 1% | 2% |
| 30 | 61% | 6% | < 1% | 78% | 4.5% | < 1% | 93% | 2.2% | < 1% | 93% | 2.1% | < 1% | 97.5% | < 1% | 1% | 98.7% | < 1% | 1% | 98.7% | < 1% | 1% | 99.38% | < 1% | 1% | 99.49% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.72% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.79% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.91% | < 1% | 1% |
| 29 | 67% | 6% | < 1% | 82% | 4.1% | < 1% | 95% | 1.8% | < 1% | 95% | 1.7% | < 1% | 98.2% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.10% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.14% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.59% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.67% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.82% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.87% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.94% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 28 | 72% | 5% | < 1% | 85% | 3.6% | < 1% | 96.2% | 1.4% | < 1% | 96.3% | 1.4% | < 1% | 98.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.40% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.42% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.73% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.79% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.89% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.92% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.96% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 27 | 77% | 4.8% | < 1% | 89% | 3.1% | < 1% | 97.3% | 1.1% | < 1% | 97.3% | 1.1% | < 1% | 99.15% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.60% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.61% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.83% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.87% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.94% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.95% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.98% | < 1% | 1% |
| 26 | 81% | 4.3% | < 1% | 91% | 2.6% | < 1% | 98.1% | < 1% | < 1% | 98.1% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.44% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.75% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.75% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.90% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.92% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.96% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.97% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.99% | < 1% | - |
| 25 | 85% | 3.8% | < 1% | 93% | 2.2% | < 1% | 98.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 98.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.63% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.84% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.84% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.93% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.95% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.98% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.98% | < 1% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - |
| Europe | EL (or CL) | CL | |
| Fourth team | 100% | 100% | 99.92% |
| Fifth team | >99.99% | >99.99% | 68% |
| FA cup winners | 100% | 100% | 65% |
| League cup winners | >99.99% | 81% | 74% |
| Sixth team | 98.1% | 90% | 3.1% |
| Seventh team | 85% | 52% | 2.7% |
| Eighth team | 49% | 9% | 2.4% |
| Home | Draw | Away | ||
| Brighton | 42% | 24% | 34% | Man United |
| Tottenham | 59% | 21% | 20% | Everton |
| Man City | 90% | 7% | 3.1% | Ipswich |
| Southampton | 44% | 24% | 32% | Forest |
| Crystal Palace | 53% | 23% | 24% | West Ham |
| Fulham | 57% | 22% | 21% | Leicester |
| Aston Villa | 30% | 24% | 46% | Arsenal |
| Wolves | 34% | 24% | 42% | Chelsea |
| Bournemouth | 37% | 24% | 39% | Newcastle |
| Liverpool | 69% | 17% | 13% | Brentford |
| 4.6% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
| 4.6% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
| 4.5% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle, Tottenham |
| 4.3% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Man United, Newcastle |
| 4.2% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City |
| 4.1% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 4.0% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man United |
| 3.6% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Man United, Tottenham |
| 3.3% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Man United |
| 3.3% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 14% | Ipswich, Leicester, Southampton |
| 13% | Forest, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 7% | Ipswich, Southampton, Wolves |
| 5% | Forest, Ipswich, Leicester |
| 4.4% | Bournemouth, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 4.2% | Everton, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 2.7% | Fulham, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 2.4% | Ipswich, Leicester, Wolves |
| 2.4% | Forest, Leicester, Southampton |
| 2.4% | Forest, Ipswich, Wolves |
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