PL: Luton closer to relegation (83%) after draw against Everton
PL: Luton closer to relegation (83%) after draw against Everton
Luton failed to win against Everton and are now relegated in 83% of the simulations. Sheffield vs Forest tonight will be key in this race.
| Average Simulated Season | Probabilities | |||||||||||
| Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League | ECL | EL | CL |
| 79 | Man City | 88.0 | +56 | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 65% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 80 | Arsenal | 86.3 | +61 | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 35% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 75 | Liverpool | 80.5 | +43 | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 67 | Aston Villa | 71.3 | +21 | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95.3% | < 1% | < 1% | 4.7% | 95.3% |
| 60 | Tottenham | 65.9 | +14 | < 1% | 99.96% | 99.39% | 94% | 4.7% | < 1% | 1.3% | 94% | 4.7% |
| 54 | Man United | 59.4 | +1 | < 1% | 73% | 42% | 2.3% | < 1% | < 1% | 25% | 55% | < 1% |
| 53 | Newcastle | 58.9 | +20 | < 1% | 76% | 42% | 2.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 40% | 34% | < 1% |
| 51 | Chelsea | 57.4 | +7 | < 1% | 50% | 17% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 32% | 13% | < 1% |
| 49 | West Ham | 52.5 | -10 | < 1% | 1.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 48 | Bournemouth | 51.1 | -10 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 44 | Brighton | 49.2 | -5 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 46 | Wolves | 48.5 | -10 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 43 | Fulham | 46.3 | -5 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 40 | Crystal Palace | 43.9 | -12 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 39 | Everton | 41.7 | -11 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 35 | Brentford | 39.2 | -8 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 26 | Forest | 29.7 | -21 | 27% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 26 | Luton | 27.9 | -30 | 83% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 21 | Burnley | 25.9 | -36 | 90% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 16 | Sheffield United | 20.2 | -62 | 99.92% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Burnley | Luton | Forest | |||||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 35 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | 3.6% | 3.6% | 100% |
| 34 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | - | 3.6% | < 1% | - |
| 33 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 11% | 8% | 100% |
| 32 | < 1% | < 1% | - | 5% | 5% | 74% | 26% | 14% | 99.2% |
| 31 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 80% | 5% | < 1% | - | 31% | 6% | 95% |
| 30 | 10% | 6% | 56% | 15% | 10% | 45% | 52% | 21% | 92% |
| 29 | 13% | 2.9% | 23% | 44% | 29% | 24% | 72% | 20% | 74% |
| 28 | 26% | 14% | 14% | 48% | 4.5% | 17% | 79% | 7% | 49% |
| 27 | 42% | 15% | 3.3% | 72% | 24% | 4.4% | 92% | 13% | 33% |
| Important matches for avoiding relegation | |||
| Sheffield United vs Forest (17.2%) | Home Win (38%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (38%) |
| Forest | 57% | 70% | 91% |
| Luton | 28% | 20% | 4.3% |
| Burnley | 15% | 9% | 4.5% |
| Burnley vs Newcastle (6.2%) | Home Win (32%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (45%) |
| Burnley | 21% | 6% | 3.3% |
| Forest | 65% | 76% | 78% |
| Sheffield United vs Burnley (6%) | Home Win (38%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (38%) |
| Burnley | 2.8% | 6% | 19% |
| Forest | 78% | 76% | 66% |
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