PL: Brighton hottest team in the league.
PL: Brighton hottest team in the league.
Brighton and Liverpool the hottest team in the league while Arsenal and Man City take fewer points than expected.
Hot Teams
Brighton: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 4.3 more than expected
Liverpool: 13 points in the last 5 matches, 3.8 more than expected
Forest: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 3.5 more than expected
Bournemouth: 7 points in the last 5 matches, 2.2 more than expected
Fulham: 7 points in the last 5 matches, 1.3 more than expected
Cold Teams
Arsenal: 5 points in the last 5 matches, 4.2 less than expected
Man City: 9 points in the last 5 matches, 2.8 less than expected
Tottenham: 6 points in the last 5 matches, 2.6 less than expected
Aston Villa: 5 points in the last 5 matches, 2.0 less than expected
Wolves: 4 points in the last 5 matches, 1.6 less than expected
Average Simulated Season | Probabilities | |||||||||||
Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League | ECL | EL | CL |
23 | Man City | 84.3 | +51 | < 1% | >99.99% | >99.99% | 99.96% | 99.83% | 62% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.96% |
28 | Liverpool | 80.9 | +41 | < 1% | 99.98% | 99.92% | 99.72% | 99.0% | 31% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.72% |
19 | Arsenal | 74.4 | +36 | < 1% | 99.46% | 98.8% | 97.1% | 93% | 6% | < 1% | 2.2% | 97.1% |
19 | Chelsea | 65.3 | +22 | < 1% | 89% | 81% | 70% | 50% | < 1% | 3.2% | 22% | 69% |
18 | Aston Villa | 60.4 | +8 | < 1% | 66% | 53% | 37% | 19% | < 1% | 10% | 27% | 37% |
18 | Newcastle | 59.4 | +8 | < 1% | 61% | 47% | 31% | 15% | < 1% | 14% | 28% | 30% |
16 | Tottenham | 57.3 | +16 | < 1% | 51% | 37% | 22% | 10% | < 1% | 14% | 22% | 34% |
19 | Brighton | 56.7 | +4 | < 1% | 44% | 31% | 19% | 8% | < 1% | 11% | 24% | 18% |
18 | Fulham | 52.7 | -2 | < 1% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 2.4% | < 1% | 9% | 14% | 6% |
15 | Man United | 52.5 | -0 | < 1% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2.2% | < 1% | 11% | 13% | 14% |
15 | Bournemouth | 50.7 | -4 | < 1% | 15% | 8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | < 1% | 7% | 10% | 3.8% |
19 | Forest | 50.2 | -6 | < 1% | 12% | 7% | 3.1% | < 1% | < 1% | 6% | 12% | 3.0% |
16 | Brentford | 49.5 | -6 | 1.5% | 11% | 6% | 2.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 8% | 8% | 2.8% |
12 | West Ham | 47.3 | -10 | 3.2% | 6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | 3.5% | 5% | 1.1% |
9 | Crystal Palace | 43.6 | -11 | 9% | 1.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | < 1% |
10 | Everton | 40.9 | -19 | 17% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
10 | Leicester | 37.5 | -25 | 35% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.5% | < 1% |
5 | Wolves | 34.8 | -26 | 54% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
8 | Ipswich | 30.4 | -37 | 82% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
4 | Southampton | 25.4 | -42 | 95.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Team | One Title | Two titles | Three titles | Four titles | Double | Treble | Quadruple |
Man City | 83% | 37% | 6% | 26% | 6% | ||
Liverpool | 64% | 20% | 2.8% | < 1% | 3.8% | < 1% | < 1% |
Arsenal | 52% | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Chelsea | 33% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
Aston Villa | 3.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
Newcastle | 13% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
Tottenham | 26% | 2.3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
Brighton | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
Fulham | 1.4% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
Man United | 13% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
Bournemouth | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
Forest | 5.0% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
Brentford | 4.0% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
West Ham | 1.5% | ||||||
Crystal Palace | 4.5% | < 1% | |||||
Everton | < 1% | ||||||
Leicester | 1.4% | ||||||
Wolves | < 1% | ||||||
Ipswich | < 1% | ||||||
Southampton | 1.1% | < 1% |
Europe | EL (or CL) | CL | |
Fourth team | 100% | 100% | >99.99% |
Fifth team | 100% | 100% | 95.3% |
FA cup winners | 100% | 100% | 68% |
League cup winners | 100% | 83% | 76% |
Sixth team | 99.74% | 98.7% | 3.2% |
Seventh team | 95% | 72% | 3.2% |
Eighth team | 67% | 11% | 3.0% |
14% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City |
11% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
9% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
6% | Arsenal, Brighton, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City |
3.7% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
3.4% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
3.2% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
2.6% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle, Tottenham |
2.5% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man United |
2.4% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle, Tottenham |
37% | Ipswich, Southampton, Wolves |
22% | Ipswich, Leicester, Southampton |
10% | Everton, Ipswich, Southampton |
7% | Leicester, Southampton, Wolves |
4.6% | Crystal Palace, Ipswich, Southampton |
3.1% | Everton, Southampton, Wolves |
1.9% | Ipswich, Leicester, Wolves |
1.8% | Ipswich, Southampton, West Ham |
1.8% | Everton, Leicester, Southampton |
1.7% | Crystal Palace, Southampton, Wolves |
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