PL: Bournemouth hottest team in the league
PL: Bournemouth hottest team in the league
Bournemouth is the hottest team in the league with 10 points in the last five matches, including wins against Arsenal and man City. Arsenal on the other hand has the weakest form with only 7 points in the last five matches, 3.3 points less than expected.
Hot Teams
Bournemouth: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 4.1 more than expected
Liverpool: 13 points in the last 5 matches, 3.9 more than expected
Forest: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 3.3 more than expected
Tottenham: 9 points in the last 5 matches, 1.6 more than expected
Brighton: 7 points in the last 5 matches, 1.2 more than expected
Cold Teams
Arsenal: 7 points in the last 5 matches, 3.3 less than expected
Ipswich: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.9 less than expected
Wolves: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 2.6 less than expected
Crystal Palace: 4 points in the last 5 matches, 2.4 less than expected
Aston Villa: 6 points in the last 5 matches, 2.2 less than expected
| Average Simulated Season | Probabilities | |||||||||||
| Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League | ECL | EL | CL |
| 23 | Man City | 86.4 | +54 | < 1% | >99.99% | >99.99% | 99.98% | 99.90% | 73% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.98% |
| 25 | Liverpool | 80.0 | +41 | < 1% | 99.95% | 99.84% | 99.49% | 98.3% | 21% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.50% |
| 18 | Arsenal | 74.8 | +36 | < 1% | 99.48% | 98.8% | 97.1% | 92% | 6% | < 1% | 2.2% | 97.2% |
| 18 | Chelsea | 65.6 | +22 | < 1% | 90% | 83% | 71% | 51% | < 1% | 3.1% | 22% | 70% |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 61.0 | +9 | < 1% | 71% | 58% | 41% | 21% | < 1% | 9% | 27% | 41% |
| 16 | Tottenham | 59.7 | +19 | < 1% | 66% | 52% | 35% | 17% | < 1% | 11% | 24% | 44% |
| 15 | Newcastle | 57.8 | +6 | < 1% | 52% | 38% | 23% | 10% | < 1% | 15% | 28% | 22% |
| 16 | Brighton | 54.5 | +2 | < 1% | 32% | 21% | 11% | 4.2% | < 1% | 11% | 20% | 11% |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 51.8 | -3 | < 1% | 19% | 11% | 5% | 1.7% | < 1% | 8% | 13% | 5% |
| 12 | Man United | 51.6 | -2 | < 1% | 18% | 10% | 4.9% | 1.6% | < 1% | 10% | 11% | 12% |
| 19 | Forest | 51.6 | -4 | < 1% | 18% | 10% | 4.9% | 1.6% | < 1% | 8% | 15% | 4.8% |
| 15 | Fulham | 50.7 | -4 | < 1% | 15% | 9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | < 1% | 7% | 11% | 3.9% |
| 13 | Brentford | 48.3 | -7 | 2.2% | 9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | < 1% | < 1% | 7% | 7% | 2.0% |
| 11 | West Ham | 48.1 | -10 | 2.5% | 8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 4.4% | 7% | 1.6% |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 44.6 | -9 | 7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | < 1% |
| 9 | Everton | 40.9 | -19 | 17% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.1% | < 1% |
| 10 | Leicester | 38.3 | -23 | 29% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.6% | < 1% |
| 2 | Wolves | 34.2 | -27 | 57% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 5 | Ipswich | 27.8 | -40 | 90% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 4 | Southampton | 26.2 | -41 | 93% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Europe | EL (or CL) | CL | |
| Fourth team | 100% | 100% | >99.99% |
| Fifth team | 100% | 100% | 96.7% |
| FA cup winners | 100% | 100% | 68% |
| League cup winners | 100% | 83% | 76% |
| Sixth team | 99.82% | 99.08% | 3.6% |
| Seventh team | 95.2% | 73% | 3.1% |
| Eighth team | 68% | 11% | 2.6% |
Most likely combo of teams in CL
| 16% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City |
| 16% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 8% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
| 6% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 3.9% | Arsenal, Brighton, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City |
| 3.8% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham |
| 3.0% | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle, Tottenham |
| 2.9% | Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle |
| 1.9% | Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man United |
| 1.8% | Arsenal, Bournemouth, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City |
| 43% | Ipswich, Southampton, Wolves |
| 20% | Ipswich, Leicester, Southampton |
| 11% | Everton, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 4.1% | Leicester, Southampton, Wolves |
| 4.0% | Crystal Palace, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 2.6% | Ipswich, Leicester, Wolves |
| 2.1% | Everton, Southampton, Wolves |
| 1.6% | Ipswich, Southampton, West Ham |
| 1.5% | Brentford, Ipswich, Southampton |
| 1.4% | Everton, Ipswich, Wolves |
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