Euro: time for favorites France to enter the stage
Euro: time for favorites France to enter the stage
| Group C | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| England | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1.3% | 7% | 15% | 77% | 97.8% |
| Denmark | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23% | 31% | 32% | 13% | 61% |
| Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 38% | 32% | 23% | 7% | 47% |
| Serbia | 1 | -1 | 0 | 37% | 30% | 30% | 2.9% | 54% |
Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
1.29; Denmark have 1.9% if they win against England; otherwise 0.77%
1.25; Serbia have 0.91% if they win against Slovenia; otherwise 0.28%
1.09; Denmark have 1.5% if they draw (or win) against England; otherwise 0.67%
| Group D | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Netherlands | 1 | +1 | 3 | 2.2% | 22% | 41% | 35% | 94% |
| France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.6% | 14% | 30% | 52% | 93% |
| Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27% | 38% | 24% | 12% | 61% |
| Poland | 1 | -1 | 0 | 67% | 26% | 6% | 1.3% | 23% |
Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
1.55; France have 20% if they draw (or win) against Austria; otherwise 16%
1.49; France have 21% if they win against Austria; otherwise 17%
1.05; Austria have 2.3% if they draw (or win) against France; otherwise 1.3%
| Group E | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.3% | 9% | 26% | 61% | 95.3% |
| Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40% | 36% | 18% | 7% | 46% |
| Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11% | 22% | 40% | 27% | 83% |
| Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46% | 33% | 15% | 5% | 40% |
Belgium
| Belgium - Slovakia | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 99.0% | 91% | 79% | 77% | 74% | 71% | Rom - Ukr | ||
| 99.1% | 91% | 76% | 73% | 71% | 64% | 95% | Home | |
| 99.1% | 91% | 76% | 74% | 72% | 72% | 95.1% | Draw | |
| 99.0% | 91% | 81% | 79% | 76% | 73% | 95.6% | Away | |
| Belgium - Slovakia | ||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | Away | |||
| 31% | 35% | 38% | 42% | 58% | 83% | Rom - Ukr | ||
| 30% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 57% | 83% | 44% | Home | |
| 32% | 36% | 39% | 43% | 58% | 84% | 46% | Draw | |
| 32% | 35% | 39% | 43% | 58% | 83% | 46% | Away | |
| Romania - Ukraine | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 42% | 45% | 50% | 55% | 74% | 94% | 96.3% | 97.4% | 98.0% | Bel - Slo | ||
| 43% | 47% | 52% | 58% | 75% | 94% | 96.3% | 97.5% | 98.0% | 84% | Home | |
| 40% | 42% | 46% | 48% | 73% | 95% | 96% | 97% | 98% | 82% | Draw | |
| 37% | 39% | 42% | 44% | 73% | 94% | 96% | 97% | 98% | 82% | Away | |
| Romania - Ukraine | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 87% | 86% | 83% | 78% | 47% | 30% | 26% | 22% | 20% | Bel - Slo | ||
| 88% | 86% | 83% | 78% | 47% | 31% | 26% | 23% | 20% | 41% | Home | |
| 86% | 85% | 82% | 80% | 45% | 28% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 39% | Draw | |
| 85% | 84% | 82% | 77% | 45% | 25% | 22% | 19% | 17% | 37% | Away | |
| Last 16 | Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | ||||
Spain (71%) Italy (25%) | ||||||||
Spain (52%) Italy (17%) Czechia (3%) | ||||||||
Czechia (10%) Turkey (10%) Greece (10%) Slovakia (10%) Romania (9%) | ||||||||
Spain (31%) Germany (30%) Italy (9%) England (4%) | ||||||||
Germany (73%) Switzerland (21%) | ||||||||
Germany (52%) Denmark (11%) Switzerland (10%) | ||||||||
Denmark (32%) Serbia (30%) Slovenia (23%) England (15%) | ||||||||
Spain (18%) Germany (18%) Portugal (14%) France (10%) Netherlands (8%) | ||||||||
Portugal (63%) Czechia (14%) Turkey (12%) | ||||||||
Portugal (42%) Croatia (12%) Italy (8%) Czechia (6%) | ||||||||
Croatia (21%) Italy (14%) Hungary (12%) Serbia (11%) Slovenia (9%) | ||||||||
Portugal (24%) France (15%) Netherlands (15%) Belgium (8%) | ||||||||
Netherlands (41%) France (30%) Austria (24%) | ||||||||
Netherlands (27%) France (23%) Ukraine (15%) Belgium (14%) | ||||||||
Ukraine (40%) Belgium (26%) Slovakia (18%) | ||||||||
France (19%) Spain (13%) Germany (12%) Portugal (9%) England (9%) | ||||||||
Belgium (61%) Ukraine (27%) | ||||||||
Belgium (39%) Ukraine (13%) Croatia (9%) Italy (6%) | ||||||||
Croatia (16%) Italy (11%) Serbia (11%) Slovenia (8%) Austria (8%) | ||||||||
France (29%) Belgium (20%) Netherlands (15%) Portugal (7%) | ||||||||
France (52%) Netherlands (35%) | ||||||||
France (41%) Netherlands (24%) Portugal (11%) | ||||||||
Czechia (29%) Turkey (25%) Greece (24%) Portugal (23%) | ||||||||
France (21%) England (15%) Belgium (12%) Netherlands (9%) Italy (8%) | ||||||||
England (77%) Denmark (13%) | ||||||||
England (53%) Denmark (7%) Austria (5%) | ||||||||
Austria (12%) Slovakia (11%) Romania (10%) Turkey (10%) Czechia (10%) | ||||||||
England (29%) Italy (14%) Spain (11%) Croatia (11%) | ||||||||
Switzerland (54%) Germany (22%) Scotland (16%) | ||||||||
Italy (26%) Croatia (20%) Spain (18%) Switzerland (17%) | ||||||||
Italy (41%) Croatia (31%) Spain (26%) |
| Pts | GD | Probability | Last 16 | Chance |
| 4 | - | 30% | 30% | 98.9% |
| 3 | 0 | 7% | 6% | 91% |
| 3 | 4-5 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 84% |
| 3 | 3-4 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 81% |
| 3 | 5-7 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 74% |
| 3 | 4-6 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 70% |
| 3 | 3-5 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 66% |
| 3 | 2-4 | 1.6% | < 1% | 62% |
| 3 | 4-7 | 2.1% | 1.1% | 54% |
| 3 | 3-6 | 2.5% | 1.3% | 50% |
| 3 | 2-5 | 1.5% | < 1% | 46% |
| 3 | 4-8 | 1.5% | < 1% | 39% |
| 3 | 3-7 | 1.8% | < 1% | 36% |
| 3 | -5 | 2.7% | < 1% | 29% |
| 2 | -1 | 5% | < 1% | 14% |
| Group B | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| GD | -1 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 0 | - | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 31% | |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 72% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 31% | |
| Spain | 3rd | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | |
| Italy | 3rd | 32% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 13% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 25% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 13% | |
| Albania | 3rd | 15% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | |
| Croatia | 3rd | 51% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 15% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 37% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 15% | |
| Group D | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| GD | -1 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 0 | - | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 31% | |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 71% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 31% | |
| Netherlands | 3rd | 22% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 10% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 10% | |
| France | 3rd | 14% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 6% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 6% | |
| Austria | 3rd | 38% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 12% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 26% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 12% | |
| Poland | 3rd | 26% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 16% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | |
| Group F | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| GD | -1 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 0 | - | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 32% | |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 68% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 32% | |
| Portugal | 3rd | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 5% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | |
| Turkey | 3rd | 30% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 9% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 9% | |
| Czechia | 3rd | 29% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 9% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 9% | |
| Greece | 3rd | 30% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 9% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 9% | |
| Group E | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| GD | -1 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 0 | - | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 30% | |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 65% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 29% | |
| Belgium | 3rd | 9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 5% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | |
| Slovakia | 3rd | 36% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 9% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 21% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 9% | |
| Ukraine | 3rd | 22% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 8% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 16% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 8% | |
| Romania | 3rd | 33% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 8% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 19% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 8% | |
| Group A | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| GD | -1 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 0 | - | ||
| 3rd | 100% | < 1% | 5% | 4% | 4% | < 1% | 3% | 3% | < 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 27% | |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 64% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 27% | |
| Germany | 3rd | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | |
| Switzerland | 3rd | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 16% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | |
| Hungary | 3rd | 43% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 10% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 26% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 10% | |
| Scotland | 3rd | 33% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 9% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 17% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 9% | |
| Group C | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| GD | -1 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 0 | - | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 15% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 31% | |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 60% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 31% | |
| England | 3rd | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | |
| Denmark | 3rd | 31% | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 11% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 16% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 11% | |
| Slovenia | 3rd | 32% | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 12% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 17% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 12% | |
| Serbia | 3rd | 30% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% |
| 3rd & Last 16 | 22% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 3% | |
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