Euro: Spain and Italy take command in Group B
Euro: Spain and Italy take command in Group B
Croatia lost against Spain and need to win against Albania next or they are in trouble.
| Group A | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Germany | 1 | +4 | 3 | < 1% | 5.0% | 22% | 73% | 98.9% |
| Switzerland | 1 | +2 | 3 | 6% | 19% | 54% | 21% | 90% |
| Hungary | 1 | -2 | 0 | 44% | 43% | 9% | 4.5% | 39% |
| Scotland | 1 | -4 | 0 | 50% | 33% | 16% | 1.7% | 34% |
| Group B | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Spain | 1 | +3 | 3 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 26% | 71% | 98.6% |
| Italy | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1.5% | 32% | 41% | 25% | 91% |
| Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 | 83% | 15% | 2.2% | < 1% | 10% |
| Croatia | 1 | -3 | 0 | 15% | 51% | 31% | 3.7% | 71% |
| Group C | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| England | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7% | 13% | 26% | 54% | 91% |
| Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43% | 29% | 19% | 9% | 46% |
| Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22% | 28% | 30% | 21% | 70% |
| Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28% | 30% | 26% | 16% | 63% |
| Serbia - England | ||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | Away | |||
| 69% | 70% | 72% | 75% | 88% | 98.1% | Slo - Den | ||
| 68% | 69% | 71% | 73% | 88% | 98.1% | 91% | Home | |
| 68% | 71% | 72% | 74% | 88% | 98.2% | 91% | Draw | |
| 69% | 70% | 73% | 76% | 88% | 98.1% | 91% | Away | |
| Slovenia - Denmark | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 90% | 88% | 85% | 80% | 46% | 28% | 25% | 22% | 20% | Ser - Eng | ||
| 90% | 88% | 84% | 80% | 45% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 18% | 45% | Home | |
| 90% | 88% | 85% | 81% | 45% | 27% | 24% | 22% | 20% | 46% | Draw | |
| 91% | 88% | 85% | 80% | 47% | 30% | 26% | 23% | 20% | 47% | Away | |
| Slovenia - Denmark | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 30% | 32% | 36% | 40% | 61% | 90% | 93% | 95% | 96% | Ser - Eng | ||
| 28% | 29% | 33% | 36% | 60% | 89% | 92% | 95% | 96% | 68% | Home | |
| 29% | 31% | 34% | 36% | 60% | 90% | 93% | 95% | 96% | 69% | Draw | |
| 30% | 34% | 38% | 43% | 62% | 89% | 93% | 95% | 96% | 71% | Away | |
| Serbia - England | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 90% | 70% | 54% | 51% | 47% | 44% | Slo - Den | ||
| 90% | 69% | 52% | 49% | 46% | 44% | 62% | Home | |
| 91% | 70% | 55% | 51% | 48% | 44% | 63% | Draw | |
| 90% | 70% | 54% | 51% | 47% | 44% | 63% | Away | |
| Group D | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12% | 24% | 36% | 29% | 82% |
| France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.9% | 13% | 28% | 54% | 93% |
| Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56% | 27% | 12% | 4.6% | 32% |
| Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27% | 36% | 24% | 13% | 61% |
| Poland - Netherlands | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 37% | 40% | 45% | 49% | 70% | 93% | 95.6% | 97.0% | 97.7% | Aus - Fra | ||
| 37% | 36% | 39% | 43% | 69% | 93% | 96% | 97% | 98% | 81% | Home | |
| 34% | 38% | 42% | 42% | 69% | 94% | 95% | 97% | 98% | 81% | Draw | |
| 37% | 41% | 47% | 53% | 70% | 93% | 95.6% | 97.2% | 97.8% | 83% | Away | |
| Austria - France | ||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | Away | |||
| 69% | 74% | 75% | 78% | 90% | 98.6% | Pol - Net | ||
| 67% | 72% | 72% | 74% | 89% | 98.5% | 92% | Home | |
| 69% | 73% | 75% | 76% | 90% | 98.6% | 93% | Draw | |
| 70% | 75% | 76% | 80% | 90% | 98.6% | 93% | Away | |
| Poland - Netherlands | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 85% | 82% | 78% | 72% | 38% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 14% | Aus - Fra | ||
| 81% | 82% | 78% | 72% | 37% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 31% | Home | |
| 85% | 82% | 78% | 74% | 37% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 32% | Draw | |
| 86% | 83% | 78% | 72% | 38% | 24% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 33% | Away | |
| Austria - France | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 90% | 69% | 54% | 50% | 46% | 42% | Pol - Net | ||
| 90% | 68% | 50% | 47% | 43% | 42% | 59% | Home | |
| 90% | 69% | 54% | 51% | 47% | 42% | 61% | Draw | |
| 90% | 70% | 54% | 50% | 46% | 42% | 61% | Away | |
| Last 16 | Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | ||||
Spain (71%) Italy (25%) | ||||||||
Spain (52%) Italy (17%) Czechia (3%) | ||||||||
Czechia (11%) Turkey (11%) Greece (10%) Slovakia (10%) Hungary (9%) | ||||||||
Spain (31%) Germany (30%) Italy (9%) England (7%) | ||||||||
Germany (73%) Switzerland (21%) | ||||||||
Germany (51%) England (14%) Denmark (10%) | ||||||||
Denmark (30%) England (26%) Serbia (26%) Slovenia (19%) | ||||||||
Spain (18%) Germany (18%) Portugal (14%) France (10%) Netherlands (7%) | ||||||||
Portugal (63%) Czechia (14%) Turkey (12%) | ||||||||
Portugal (42%) Croatia (11%) Italy (7%) Czechia (6%) | ||||||||
Croatia (19%) Italy (13%) Hungary (12%) Serbia (11%) Denmark (10%) | ||||||||
Portugal (24%) France (14%) Netherlands (13%) Belgium (8%) | ||||||||
Netherlands (36%) France (28%) Austria (24%) | ||||||||
Netherlands (24%) France (21%) Ukraine (16%) Belgium (14%) | ||||||||
Ukraine (40%) Belgium (26%) Slovakia (18%) | ||||||||
France (20%) Spain (14%) Germany (12%) Portugal (10%) Belgium (8%) | ||||||||
Belgium (61%) Ukraine (27%) | ||||||||
Belgium (38%) Ukraine (13%) Croatia (10%) Italy (7%) | ||||||||
Croatia (18%) Italy (12%) Serbia (10%) Denmark (10%) Slovenia (9%) | ||||||||
France (30%) Belgium (20%) Netherlands (12%) Portugal (7%) | ||||||||
France (54%) Netherlands (29%) Austria (13%) | ||||||||
France (42%) Netherlands (20%) Portugal (11%) Czechia (7%) | ||||||||
Czechia (29%) Turkey (25%) Greece (24%) Portugal (23%) | ||||||||
France (22%) Belgium (12%) England (11%) Italy (8%) Croatia (8%) | ||||||||
England (54%) Denmark (21%) Serbia (16%) | ||||||||
England (37%) Denmark (11%) Serbia (8%) Austria (6%) | ||||||||
Austria (13%) Slovakia (11%) Romania (10%) Netherlands (10%) Czechia (9%) | ||||||||
England (20%) Italy (14%) Croatia (12%) Spain (11%) Germany (8%) | ||||||||
Switzerland (54%) Germany (22%) Scotland (16%) | ||||||||
Italy (26%) Croatia (20%) Spain (18%) Switzerland (17%) | ||||||||
Italy (41%) Croatia (31%) Spain (26%) |
| Pts | GD | Probability | Last 16 | Chance |
| 4 | - | 31% | 31% | 98.7% |
| 3 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 91% |
| 3 | 4-5 | 2.8% | 2.3% | 83% |
| 3 | 3-4 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 80% |
| 3 | 5-7 | 1.9% | 1.4% | 73% |
| 3 | 4-6 | 3.0% | 2.1% | 69% |
| 3 | 3-5 | 3.0% | 1.9% | 64% |
| 3 | 2-4 | 1.5% | < 1% | 61% |
| 3 | 4-7 | 2.3% | 1.2% | 52% |
| 3 | 3-6 | 2.6% | 1.2% | 47% |
| 3 | 2-5 | 1.6% | < 1% | 43% |
| 3 | 4-8 | 1.6% | < 1% | 35% |
| 3 | 3-7 | 1.9% | < 1% | 32% |
| 3 | -5 | 3.1% | < 1% | 24% |
| 2 | -1 | 4.0% | < 1% | 12% |
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