Euro: Denmark and Serbia in decider
Euro: Denmark and Serbia in decider
Denmark are through with a draw againt Serbia; they can advance with a small loss as well as long as England defeat Slovenia. Slovenia are through with a draw against England; they can advance with a loss as well as detailed below. Serbia clinch a place in the knockout stage with a win against Denmark and can go through with a draw as well as long as England beat Slovenia.
Hungary are through if England win and Serbia do not win.
Croatia need that England win with at least 3 goals and that Denmark beat Serbia.
The winner of Group D gets Turkey or Czechia in R16, while the runner-up get the runner-up from Group E (likely Belgium or Romania).
Group A | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Germany | 3 | +6 | 7 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 100% |
Switzerland | 3 | +2 | 5 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 100% |
Hungary | 3 | -3 | 3 | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% |
Scotland | 3 | -5 | 1 | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Group B | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Spain | 3 | +5 | 9 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 100% |
Italy | 3 | 0 | 4 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 100% |
Croatia | 3 | -3 | 2 | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 2.3% |
Albania | 3 | -2 | 1 | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Group C | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
England | 2 | +1 | 4 | < 1% | 6% | 16% | 78% | 100% |
Denmark | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20% | 20% | 49% | 11% | 71% |
Slovenia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26% | 56% | 6% | 12% | 46% |
Serbia | 2 | -1 | 1 | 54% | 17% | 29% | < 1% | 39% |
Denmark - Serbia | ||||||||||||
Home | Draw | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 1-4 | -4 | |||
100% | 100% | 16% | 23% | 30% | 7% | 10% | < 1% | 3% | < 1% | Slo - Eng | ||
100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 66% | Home | |
100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 66% | Draw | |
100% | 100% | 17% | 41% | 50% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 72% | 0-1 | |
100% | 100% | < 1% | 20% | 47% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 69% | 1-2 | |
100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 22% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 67% | 2-3 | |
100% | 100% | 33% | 41% | 48% | 6% | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 74% | -2 | |
100% | 100% | 34% | 41% | 49% | 26% | 28% | < 1% | 10% | < 1% | 76% | -3 | |
100% | 100% | 33% | 41% | 47% | 27% | 29% | < 1% | 15% | < 1% | 76% | -4 |
Slovenia - England | ||||||||||||
Home | Draw | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 1-4 | -4 | |||
100% | 100% | 24% | 35% | 47% | 13% | 15% | < 1% | 6% | < 1% | Den - Ser | ||
100% | 100% | 34% | 41% | 48% | 26% | 28% | < 1% | 13% | < 1% | 50% | Home | |
100% | 100% | 34% | 40% | 47% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 43% | 0-0 | |
100% | 100% | 17% | 40% | 49% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 42% | 1-1 | |
100% | 100% | < 1% | 20% | 47% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 39% | 2-2 | |
100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 26% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 36% | 3-3 | |
100% | 100% | 17% | 40% | 51% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 42% | 0-1 | |
100% | 100% | < 1% | 20% | 49% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 39% | 1-2 | |
100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 23% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 36% | 2-3 | |
100% | 100% | 33% | 39% | 49% | 7% | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 47% | -2 | |
100% | 100% | 33% | 41% | 45% | 26% | 27% | < 1% | 9% | < 1% | 49% | -3 |
Denmark - Serbia | ||||||||
Home | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3-3 | Away | |||
< 1% | 13% | 16% | 23% | 30% | 100% | Slo - Eng | ||
< 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 34% | Home | |
< 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 34% | Draw | |
< 1% | < 1% | 17% | 42% | 48% | 100% | 40% | 0-1 | |
< 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 20% | 47% | 100% | 36% | 1-2 | |
< 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 25% | 100% | 35% | 2-3 | |
< 1% | 31% | 33% | 40% | 49% | 100% | 43% | -2 | |
< 1% | 31% | 34% | 40% | 48% | 100% | 43% | -3 | |
< 1% | 32% | 34% | 41% | 46% | 100% | 43% | -4 |
Group D | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Netherlands | 2 | +1 | 4 | < 1% | 25% | 39% | 36% | 100% |
France | 2 | +1 | 4 | < 1% | 1.7% | 42% | 57% | 100% |
Austria | 2 | +1 | 3 | < 1% | 74% | 19% | 7% | 99.80% |
Poland | 2 | -3 | 0 | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Netherlands - Austria | |||||
Home | Draw | Away | |||
99.60% | 100% | 100% | Pol - Fra | ||
99.6% | 100% | 100% | 99.8% | Home | |
99.6% | 100% | 100% | 99.8% | Draw | |
99.6% | 100% | 100% | 99.80% | Away |
Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
1.08; France have 24% if they win against Poland; otherwise 20%
Last 16 | Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | ||||
Spain (100%) | ||||||||
Spain (77%) Ukraine (9%) | ||||||||
Ukraine (30%) Slovakia (28%) Romania (18%) Turkey (10%) | ||||||||
Spain (43%) Germany (39%) Denmark (5%) | ||||||||
Germany (100%) | ||||||||
Germany (70%) Denmark (14%) | ||||||||
Denmark (49%) Serbia (29%) England (16%) | ||||||||
Spain (23%) Germany (21%) Portugal (19%) France (12%) Belgium (7%) | ||||||||
Portugal (100%) | ||||||||
Portugal (70%) Hungary (26%) | ||||||||
Hungary (86%) | ||||||||
Portugal (37%) France (20%) Netherlands (14%) Belgium (11%) | ||||||||
France (42%) Netherlands (39%) Austria (19%) | ||||||||
France (32%) Netherlands (26%) Belgium (21%) Austria (11%) | ||||||||
Belgium (43%) Romania (39%) Slovakia (10%) | ||||||||
France (23%) Spain (13%) Germany (12%) Portugal (10%) Netherlands (10%) | ||||||||
Belgium (33%) Slovakia (31%) Romania (21%) Ukraine (16%) | ||||||||
Austria (23%) Belgium (22%) Netherlands (9%) Slovenia (9%) Slovakia (9%) | ||||||||
Austria (40%) Slovenia (22%) Netherlands (14%) Denmark (9%) | ||||||||
France (35%) Netherlands (22%) Belgium (11%) Austria (11%) | ||||||||
France (57%) Netherlands (36%) | ||||||||
France (47%) Netherlands (27%) Turkey (12%) | ||||||||
Turkey (59%) Czechia (40%) | ||||||||
France (24%) England (18%) Italy (18%) Netherlands (14%) | ||||||||
England (78%) Slovenia (12%) | ||||||||
England (55%) Austria (14%) Netherlands (6%) | ||||||||
Austria (32%) Turkey (24%) Czechia (11%) Netherlands (11%) | ||||||||
Italy (36%) England (32%) Switzerland (12%) | ||||||||
Switzerland (100%) | ||||||||
Italy (67%) Switzerland (33%) | ||||||||
Italy (100%) |
Pts | GD | Probability | Last 16 | Chance |
3 | 2-5 | 17% | 15% | 88% |
3 | 4-8 | < 1% | < 1% | 76% |
3 | 3-7 | 1.0% | < 1% | 77% |
3 | 2-6 | < 1% | < 1% | 84% |
3 | 3-8 | < 1% | < 1% | 76% |
3 | -6 | < 1% | < 1% | 79% |
2 | 5-6 | < 1% | < 1% | 59% |
2 | 4-5 | 2.0% | 1.1% | 54% |
2 | 3-4 | 4.4% | 1.9% | 44% |
2 | 2-3 | 3.2% | 1.1% | 34% |
2 | 1-2 | < 1% | < 1% | 31% |
2 | 4-6 | < 1% | < 1% | 26% |
2 | 3-5 | 1.3% | < 1% | 25% |
2 | 2-4 | 1.2% | < 1% | 24% |
2 | 3-6 | 17% | < 1% | 2.6% |
Group D | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
GD | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5-6 | -6 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | ||
3rd | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Netherlands | 3rd | 25% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 25% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
France | 3rd | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Austria | 3rd | 74% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 73% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Poland | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Group E | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
GD | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5-6 | -6 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | ||
3rd | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 4% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 4% | |
Romania | 3rd | 22% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 21% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Belgium | 3rd | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Slovakia | 3rd | 33% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 33% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Ukraine | 3rd | 36% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 3% |
3rd & Last 16 | 34% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 3% | |
Group A | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
GD | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5-6 | -6 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | ||
3rd | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% | |
Germany | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Switzerland | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Hungary | 3rd | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
3rd & Last 16 | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% | |
Scotland | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Group F | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
GD | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5-6 | -6 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | ||
3rd | 100% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 57% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 5% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | |
Portugal | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Turkey | 3rd | 37% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 34% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | |
Czechia | 3rd | 44% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 5% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Georgia | 3rd | 19% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Group C | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
GD | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5-6 | -6 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | ||
3rd | 100% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 15% | 16% | 6% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 55% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | 7% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
England | 3rd | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Denmark | 3rd | 20% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Slovenia | 3rd | 56% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 1% | < 1% | 6% | 9% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 28% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Serbia | 3rd | 17% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Group B | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
GD | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5-6 | -6 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | ||
3rd | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 2% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Spain | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Italy | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Croatia | 3rd | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 2% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Albania | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
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