EL/ECL: Probabilities of last eight
EL/ECL: Probabilities of last eight
Probabilities of last eight in EL and ECL.
Europa League
| Team | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Liverpool | 74% | 54% | 36% |
| Leverkusen | 62% | 36% | 19% |
| Milan | 54% | 27% | 13% |
| Atalanta | 47% | 20% | 9% |
| Benfica | 46% | 20% | 8% |
| Roma | 43% | 17% | 7% |
| West Ham | 41% | 15% | 6% |
| Marseille | 33% | 10% | 3.3% |
Europa Conference League
| Team | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Aston Villa | 78% | 59% | 41% |
| Fiorentina | 62% | 35% | 17% |
| Lille | 58% | 30% | 14% |
| Fenerbahce | 51% | 23% | 10% |
| Brugge | 50% | 22% | 9% |
| Olympiakos | 35% | 10% | 3.2% |
| PAOK | 34% | 10% | 3.2% |
| Viktoria Plzen | 33% | 10% | 2.9% |
Which countries get extra CL spots
| Score | ||||
| Country | Probability | Average | Min | Max |
| ITA | 95% | 20.16 | 17.86 | 23.43 |
| ENG | 92% | 20.09 | 16.63 | 23.38 |
| GER | 13% | 18.2 | 16.5 | 21.36 |
| FRA | < 1% | 16.16 | 14.42 | 20.08 |
| ESP | < 1% | 16.17 | 14.81 | 18.19 |
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