Copa: The US in trouble after loss against Panama
Copa: The US in trouble after loss against Panama
Uruguay are through unless they lose with more than three goals against the USA. Panama need to take more points against Bolivia than the US do against Uruguay or catch up the two-goal advantage USA have. The different scenarios are detailed in tables below.
Group C | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Uruguay | 2 | +7 | 6 | < 1% | < 1% | 1.0% | 99.0% | 99.97% |
United States | 2 | +1 | 3 | < 1% | 53% | 46% | < 1% | 47% |
Panama | 2 | -1 | 3 | 3.6% | 44% | 53% | < 1% | 53% |
Bolivia | 2 | -7 | 0 | 96.4% | 3.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
United States - Uruguay | ||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | Away | |||
99% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | Pan - Bol | ||
97% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.95% | Home | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | Draw | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | Away |
United States - Uruguay | ||||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 0-4 | |||
100% | 98.6% | 95.3% | 88% | 50% | 27% | 26% | 11% | 17% | 3% | Pan - Bol | ||
100% | 100% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | +4 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 12% | +3 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 27% | +2 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 27% | +1 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 50% | Draw | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 91% | 0-1 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 88% | 1-2 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 87% | 2-3 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | 96.2% | -2 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.6% | 0-3 |
Panama - Bolivia | ||||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-3 | -2 | -3 | |||
96% | 88% | 73% | 73% | 50% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 3.8% | < 1% | Uni - Uru | ||
6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | +4 | |
< 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.4% | +3 | |
99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4.7% | +2 | |
100% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 12% | +1 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 50% | Draw | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 73% | -1 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 74% | -2 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 89% | 0-3 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 83% | 1-4 | |
100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | 96% | 0-4 |
Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | |||
Argentina (99%) | ||||||
Argentina (79%) Ecuador (13%) | ||||||
Ecuador (58%) Mexico (24%) Venezuela (18%) | ||||||
Argentina (68%) Ecuador (11%) | ||||||
Venezuela (82%) Ecuador (13%) | ||||||
Venezuela (42%) Canada (27%) Chile (17%) | ||||||
Canada (59%) Chile (37%) | ||||||
Argentina (46%) Colombia (15%) Brazil (14%) | ||||||
Uruguay (99%) | ||||||
Uruguay (54%) Brazil (25%) Colombia (16%) | ||||||
Brazil (45%) Colombia (31%) Costa Rica (13%) | ||||||
Colombia (32%) Uruguay (29%) Brazil (28%) | ||||||
Colombia (62%) Brazil (33%) | ||||||
Colombia (45%) Brazil (24%) United States (17%) | ||||||
Panama (53%) United States (46%) |
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