Copa: Argentina win Group A (99.44%)
Copa: Argentina win Group A (99.44%)
Argentina have most likely won Group A. Canada and Chile play a decider on the second place on Saturday. Canada finish second if they win or if they draw and Peru do not win against Argentina. Chile must beat Canada to have a chance and if Peru also win, goal difference will decide. Peru have to beat Argentina to have a chance and then hope that Chile or Canada draw or that Chile win with small margin.
| Group A | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Argentina | 2 | +3 | 6 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.44% | 100% |
| Canada | 2 | -1 | 3 | 3.0% | 37% | 59% | < 1% | 60% |
| Chile | 2 | -1 | 1 | 21% | 42% | 37% | < 1% | 37% |
| Peru | 2 | -1 | 1 | 76% | 20% | 3.1% | < 1% | 3.1% |
| Chile - Canada | |||||
| Home | Draw | Away | |||
| < 1% | 92% | 100% | Arg - Per | ||
| < 1% | 100% | 100% | 62% | Home | |
| < 1% | 100% | 100% | 62% | Draw | |
| < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 37% | Away | |
| Chile - Canada | ||||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 4-2 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 3-2 | Draw | Away | |||
| 99.9% | 99.8% | 98.2% | 99.0% | 99.4% | 93% | 95.5% | 97.2% | < 1% | < 1% | Arg - Per | ||
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 38% | Home | |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 38% | Draw | |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 35% | 0-1 | |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | 50% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 26% | 1-2 | |
| - | 53% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | -3 | |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | -4 | |
| Argentina - Peru | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | 0-1 | 1-2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| < 1% | < 1% | 28% | 36% | 58% | 63% | Chi - Can | ||
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | - | - | < 1% | +4 | |
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 47% | - | < 1% | +3 | |
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | - | 1.8% | 2-0 | |
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | - | 1.0% | 3-1 | |
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | - | - | < 1% | 4-2 | |
| < 1% | < 1% | 50% | 100% | 100% | - | 7% | 1-0 | |
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 50% | 100% | - | 4.5% | 2-1 | |
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | - | 2.8% | 3-2 | |
| < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 8% | Draw | |
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | Away | |
| Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | |||
Argentina (99%) | ||||||
Argentina (82%) Ecuador (7%) | ||||||
Venezuela (31%) Ecuador (31%) Mexico (29%) | ||||||
Argentina (70%) Mexico (8%) | ||||||
Venezuela (45%) Mexico (37%) Ecuador (16%) | ||||||
Canada (26%) Venezuela (23%) Mexico (21%) Chile (16%) | ||||||
Canada (59%) Chile (37%) | ||||||
Argentina (47%) Colombia (14%) Brazil (13%) | ||||||
Uruguay (67%) United States (31%) | ||||||
Uruguay (37%) Brazil (26%) Colombia (17%) United States (14%) | ||||||
Brazil (45%) Colombia (31%) Costa Rica (13%) | ||||||
Colombia (30%) Uruguay (27%) Brazil (27%) | ||||||
Colombia (62%) Brazil (33%) | ||||||
Colombia (39%) Brazil (22%) United States (20%) Uruguay (14%) | ||||||
United States (53%) Uruguay (29%) Panama (15%) |
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