Copa America '24
Copa America '24
Four teams in each group and two teams advance to the quarterfinals. A tight race behind Argentina in Group A. Group B is the most open group with Ecuador, Mexico, Venezuela, and Jamaica. In Group C we have Uruguay and USA epected to advance , and in Group D we expect Brazil and Colombia to advance to the knock-out stage.
Team | Quarterfinals | Semifinals | Final | Champion |
Argentina | 96.0% | 79% | 66% | 45% |
Brazil | 87% | 57% | 32% | 16% |
Colombia | 85% | 53% | 28% | 14% |
Uruguay | 87% | 45% | 24% | 11% |
Ecuador | 73% | 35% | 13% | 4.8% |
United States | 71% | 29% | 11% | 4.0% |
Mexico | 57% | 21% | 6% | 1.7% |
Venezuela | 45% | 14% | 3.9% | < 1% |
Peru | 38% | 16% | 3.5% | < 1% |
Chile | 34% | 14% | 2.9% | < 1% |
Canada | 33% | 14% | 2.8% | < 1% |
Panama | 29% | 7% | 1.7% | < 1% |
Paraguay | 18% | 5% | 1.1% | < 1% |
Jamaica | 24% | 5% | 1.1% | < 1% |
Costa Rica | 10% | 2.3% | < 1% | < 1% |
Bolivia | 13% | 2.0% | < 1% | < 1% |
Group A | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | < 1% | 3.1% | 13% | 83% | 96.0% |
Chile | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34% | 32% | 28% | 5% | 34% |
Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35% | 32% | 28% | 5% | 33% |
Peru | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30% | 32% | 31% | 6% | 38% |
Argentina - Canada | |||||
Home | Draw | Away | |||
98.6% | 91% | 76% | Per - Chi | ||
98.7% | 91% | 73% | 95.9% | Home | |
98.4% | 92% | 79% | 96.2% | Draw | |
98.6% | 91% | 76% | 96.1% | Away |
Peru - Chile | ||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | |||
4% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 33% | 60% | 64% | 68% | Arg - Can | ||
4% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 34% | 62% | 67% | 72% | 35% | Home | |
7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 55% | 31% | Draw | |
5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 24% | 44% | 44% | 52% | 25% | Away |
Argentina - Canada | ||||||||
Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
28% | 42% | 70% | 74% | 76% | 75% | Per - Chi | ||
27% | 42% | 70% | 75% | 80% | - | 32% | Home | |
31% | 38% | 69% | 72% | 72% | - | 35% | Draw | |
28% | 44% | 70% | 76% | 76% | - | 33% | Away |
Peru - Chile | |||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
72% | 70% | 67% | 62% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | Arg - Can | ||
75% | 73% | 70% | 64% | 36% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 39% | Home | |
63% | 61% | 59% | 60% | 37% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 36% | Draw | |
54% | 54% | 49% | 47% | 27% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 29% | Away |
Group B | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Ecuador | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9% | 17% | 28% | 45% | 73% |
Venezuela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25% | 30% | 26% | 19% | 45% |
Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18% | 25% | 30% | 27% | 57% |
Jamaica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48% | 28% | 16% | 9% | 24% |
Ecuador - Venezuela | |||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
92% | 92% | 91% | 89% | 68% | 44% | 41% | 39% | 36% | Mex - Jam | ||
94% | 93% | 92% | 89% | 68% | 42% | 37% | 35% | 31% | 73% | Home | |
89% | 90% | 90% | 89% | 69% | 48% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 74% | Draw | |
92% | 92% | 90% | 88% | 68% | 46% | 43% | 42% | 37% | 73% | Away |
Ecuador - Venezuela | |||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
24% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 49% | 78% | 81% | 83% | 82% | Mex - Jam | ||
20% | 21% | 24% | 27% | 48% | 77% | 81% | 84% | 82% | 44% | Home | |
33% | 31% | 32% | 33% | 48% | 79% | 80% | 78% | 78% | 48% | Draw | |
26% | 29% | 30% | 33% | 51% | 78% | 80% | 83% | 85% | 47% | Away |
Mexico - Jamaica | |||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | 0-3 | -4 | |||
76% | 76% | 75% | 72% | 50% | 25% | 21% | 18% | 18% | Ecu - Ven | ||
80% | 79% | 77% | 74% | 51% | 24% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 58% | Home | |
70% | 74% | 73% | 72% | 54% | 26% | 26% | 23% | 26% | 58% | Draw | |
74% | 74% | 73% | 69% | 46% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 55% | Away |
Mexico - Jamaica | ||||||||
Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
9% | 28% | 54% | 58% | 62% | 65% | Ecu - Ven | ||
9% | 28% | 55% | 61% | 65% | 68% | 24% | Home | |
11% | 29% | 55% | 55% | 55% | 58% | 25% | Draw | |
10% | 27% | 52% | 56% | 60% | 67% | 24% | Away |
Group C | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Uruguay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.1% | 10% | 29% | 58% | 87% |
United States | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8% | 21% | 41% | 31% | 71% |
Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30% | 41% | 21% | 8% | 29% |
Bolivia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59% | 28% | 10% | 3.0% | 13% |
Uruguay - Panama | |||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
97% | 96% | 95.9% | 95% | 80% | 52% | 48% | 43% | 42% | Uni - Bol | ||
97% | 97% | 96% | 95% | 80% | 50% | 44% | 39% | 34% | 87% | Home | |
96% | 95% | 95% | 95% | 80% | 55% | 59% | 53% | - | 87% | Draw | |
96% | 95% | 95% | 93% | 79% | 59% | 54% | 52% | - | 87% | Away |
United States - Bolivia | |||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
84% | 83% | 82% | 80% | 61% | 30% | 26% | 21% | 24% | Uru - Pan | ||
87% | 85% | 84% | 82% | 62% | 31% | 26% | 20% | 22% | 73% | Home | |
79% | 78% | 78% | 79% | 65% | 29% | 29% | 26% | - | 70% | Draw | |
78% | 77% | 76% | 73% | 51% | 27% | 24% | 15% | - | 65% | Away |
Uruguay - Panama | |||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
16% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 37% | 71% | 75% | 79% | 83% | Uni - Bol | ||
13% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 35% | 70% | 75% | 79% | 82% | 27% | Home | |
22% | 23% | 24% | 25% | 36% | 74% | 74% | 74% | - | 33% | Draw | |
22% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 43% | 73% | 76% | 81% | - | 35% | Away |
United States - Bolivia | ||||||||
Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
4.4% | 19% | 48% | 53% | 57% | 63% | Uru - Pan | ||
3.9% | 19% | 49% | 55% | 61% | 67% | 13% | Home | |
6% | 19% | 49% | 50% | 50% | - | 14% | Draw | |
5% | 19% | 41% | 47% | 49% | - | 13% | Away |
Group D | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6% | 10% | 38% | 50% | 87% |
Colombia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2% | 12% | 41% | 44% | 85% |
Paraguay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37% | 45% | 13% | 4.2% | 18% |
Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57% | 33% | 8% | 2.0% | 10% |
Brazil - Costa Rica | ||||||||
Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
93% | 78% | 45% | 42% | 35% | 34% | Col - Par | ||
94% | 79% | 46% | 41% | 31% | 28% | 88% | Home | |
91% | 81% | 44% | 47% | 48% | - | 86% | Draw | |
89% | 70% | 44% | 42% | - | - | 84% | Away |
Colombia - Paraguay | |||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
96% | 95% | 95% | 93% | 77% | 41% | 34% | 31% | 30% | Bra - Cos | ||
97% | 96% | 95% | 94% | 77% | 40% | 31% | 30% | 26% | 85% | Home | |
93% | 92% | 93% | 93% | 78% | 41% | 42% | 35% | - | 85% | Draw | |
93% | 92% | 92% | 89% | 71% | 45% | 44% | 36% | - | 83% | Away |
Colombia - Paraguay | ||||||||
Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
8% | 25% | 64% | 71% | 74% | 75% | Bra - Cos | ||
7% | 25% | 63% | 72% | 75% | 78% | 17% | Home | |
12% | 24% | 67% | 67% | 70% | - | 20% | Draw | |
13% | 32% | 63% | 65% | 72% | - | 22% | Away |
Brazil - Costa Rica | ||||||||
Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
4.9% | 17% | 49% | 55% | 60% | 66% | Col - Par | ||
4.0% | 17% | 49% | 57% | 65% | 70% | 9% | Home | |
7% | 17% | 52% | 52% | 49% | - | 12% | Draw | |
7% | 22% | 48% | 52% | - | - | 12% | Away |
Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | |||
Argentina (83%) Peru (6%) | ||||||
Argentina (69%) Ecuador (9%) | ||||||
Mexico (30%) Ecuador (28%) Venezuela (26%) Jamaica (16%) | ||||||
Argentina (66%) Ecuador (13%) | ||||||
Ecuador (45%) Mexico (27%) Venezuela (19%) | ||||||
Ecuador (27%) Mexico (14%) Peru (14%) Chile (12%) | ||||||
Peru (31%) Chile (28%) Canada (28%) | ||||||
Argentina (45%) Brazil (16%) Colombia (14%) | ||||||
Uruguay (58%) United States (31%) | ||||||
Uruguay (31%) Colombia (24%) Brazil (23%) United States (13%) | ||||||
Colombia (41%) Brazil (38%) Paraguay (13%) | ||||||
Brazil (32%) Colombia (28%) Uruguay (24%) United States (11%) | ||||||
Brazil (50%) Colombia (44%) | ||||||
Brazil (34%) Colombia (29%) United States (15%) Uruguay (14%) | ||||||
United States (41%) Uruguay (29%) Panama (21%) |
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