CL: Probabilities Last 16
CL: Probabilities Last 16
Leipzig are standing out with 78% chance to reach the quarterfinals, one of the highest, yet in terms of winning the whole tournament, they are only ranked 9th (with 3.2%).
In the bottom there is a table showing which two leagues are likely given extra spots in next season's CL.
Champions League
| Team | Quarter | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Man City | 95% | 73% | 55% | 38% |
| Bayern | 78% | 48% | 28% | 14% |
| Inter | 61% | 37% | 21% | 10% |
| Arsenal | 69% | 39% | 20% | 9% |
| Paris SG | 59% | 29% | 13% | 5% |
| Dortmund | 58% | 26% | 11% | 4.2% |
| Barcelona | 58% | 26% | 11% | 4.1% |
| Atletico | 39% | 19% | 9% | 3.6% |
| RB Leipzig | 78% | 29% | 10% | 3.2% |
| Napoli | 42% | 16% | 6% | 1.9% |
| PSV | 42% | 16% | 6% | 1.9% |
| Sociedad | 41% | 16% | 6% | 1.9% |
| Porto | 31% | 12% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Lazio | 22% | 8% | 2.3% | < 1% |
| Young Boys | 22% | 2.9% | < 1% | < 1% |
| FC Kobenhavn | 5% | 1.0% | < 1% | < 1% |
Which country get extra CL spots
| Score | ||||
| Country | Probability | Average | Min | Max |
| ENG | 81% | 19.82 | 14.25 | 24.75 |
| ITA | 63% | 19.2 | 14.14 | 27.43 |
| GER | 46% | 18.54 | 13.93 | 26.21 |
| FRA | 7% | 15.97 | 11.58 | 25.08 |
| ESP | 1.6% | 15.61 | 12.81 | 21.94 |
| CZE | 1.3% | 14.76 | 12.25 | 23.25 |
| BEL | < 1% | 14.23 | 11.6 | 20.8 |
| TUR | < 1% | 12.84 | 10.5 | 19.75 |
| NED | < 1% | 10.9 | 8.6 | 18.6 |
| POR | < 1% | 11.37 | 7.83 | 19 |
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