CL: Predictions of quarterfinal prior to the draw.
CL: Predictions of quarterfinal prior to the draw.
It looks like avry tight group of final eight teams. No team reaches the semifinals in less than a third of the simulations. Man City are standing out as favorites, but the other seven teams are predicted between 36% and 60%
Champions League
| Team | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Man City | 73% | 52% | 34% |
| Real Madrid | 60% | 34% | 17% |
| Arsenal | 56% | 30% | 15% |
| Bayern | 52% | 25% | 11% |
| Paris SG | 44% | 18% | 7% |
| Barcelona | 40% | 15% | 5% |
| Atletico | 39% | 14% | 5% |
| Dortmund | 36% | 12% | 4.3% |
In the race for extra CL spot, nothing much happened. Germany increased their chances slightly and Italy decreased their chances slightly.
Which countries get extra CL spots
| Score | ||||
| Country | Probability | Average | Min | Max |
| ITA | 87% | 19.83 | 16.71 | 23.71 |
| ENG | 77% | 19.48 | 15.75 | 23.5 |
| GER | 34% | 18.44 | 16.07 | 22.64 |
| FRA | 1.6% | 16.44 | 14.08 | 20.58 |
| CZE | < 1% | 14.45 | 13.25 | 20.25 |
| ESP | < 1% | 16.08 | 14.56 | 19.31 |
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