CL: England with 83% to win extra CL slot
CL: England with 83% to win extra CL slot
Updated probabilities after matchday 2. The prediction remains that about 15-16 points will be needed to finish top-8 and about 9-10 point will be needed to finish top-24 and qualify for the knockout-stage.
After four wins for the English teams they now have a 83% chance to win the extra CL slot.
Champions League
| Pos | Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | R16 | QF | Semi | Final | Champ | ||||
| 1 | 4 | Man City | 17 | 16-4 | 99.57% | 95.3% | 76% | 95.9% | 77% | 58% | 43% | 22% | ||||
| 2 | 6 | Dortmund | 17 | 21-10 | 99.61% | 95.4% | 75% | 90% | 49% | 23% | 9% | 4.7% | ||||
| 3 | 6 | Leverkusen | 17 | 14-7 | 99.37% | 93% | 70% | 91% | 57% | 31% | 16% | 8% | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Arsenal | 16 | 11-4 | 98.8% | 90% | 59% | 88% | 58% | 35% | 19% | 10% | ||||
| 5 | 4 | Inter | 15 | 14-3 | 97.7% | 86% | 54% | 86% | 56% | 34% | 19% | 9% | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Liverpool | 15 | 20-13 | 97.4% | 83% | 51% | 82% | 47% | 24% | 12% | 6% | ||||
| 7 | 3 | Bayern | 15 | 17-12 | 96.9% | 82% | 47% | 80% | 45% | 23% | 11% | 5% | ||||
| 8 | 3 | Real Madrid | 15 | 13-9 | 96.4% | 80% | 44% | 84% | 58% | 37% | 23% | 11% | ||||
| 9 | 6 | Juventus | 15 | 17-15 | 96.1% | 78% | 43% | 72% | 33% | 13% | 4.7% | 2.4% | ||||
| 10 | 4 | Atalanta | 14 | 18-8 | 96.7% | 80% | 44% | 76% | 40% | 18% | 8% | 3.8% | ||||
| 11 | 6 | Aston Villa | 14 | 14-7 | 95.5% | 76% | 40% | 65% | 23% | 7% | 1.9% | < 1% | ||||
| 12 | 3 | Barcelona | 13 | 21-11 | 93% | 71% | 34% | 72% | 39% | 19% | 9% | 4.3% | ||||
| 13 | 6 | Benfica | 13 | 13-9 | 92% | 64% | 27% | 55% | 18% | 5% | 1.4% | < 1% | ||||
| 14 | 3 | Atletico | 13 | 12-14 | 86% | 54% | 19% | 55% | 23% | 9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | ||||
| 15 | 4 | Sporting | 12 | 10-6 | 84% | 52% | 18% | 53% | 22% | 9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | ||||
| 16 | 3 | Paris SG | 12 | 10-9 | 81% | 48% | 16% | 56% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 3.0% | ||||
| 17 | 4 | Monaco | 12 | 13-13 | 83% | 46% | 13% | 43% | 15% | 4.5% | 1.2% | < 1% | ||||
| 18 | 6 | Brest | 12 | 12-13 | 81% | 44% | 13% | 33% | 7% | 1.4% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 19 | 1 | Stuttgart | 11 | 14-13 | 75% | 38% | 10% | 40% | 14% | 4.9% | 1.5% | < 1% | ||||
| 20 | 0 | Milan | 11 | 12-11 | 74% | 36% | 7% | 41% | 16% | 6% | 2.0% | < 1% | ||||
| 21 | 3 | Lille | 11 | 11-11 | 74% | 36% | 9% | 38% | 13% | 4.0% | 1.2% | < 1% | ||||
| 22 | 1 | PSV | 11 | 8-13 | 67% | 30% | 6% | 34% | 12% | 4.1% | 1.2% | < 1% | ||||
| 23 | 4 | Sparta Praha | 10 | 13-15 | 61% | 23% | 4.3% | 24% | 6% | 1.5% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 24 | 0 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 12-14 | 58% | 23% | 4.2% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | ||||
| 25 | 3 | Feyenoord | 10 | 13-18 | 59% | 23% | 4.5% | 25% | 7% | 2.1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 26 | 3 | Celtic | 10 | 13-18 | 57% | 21% | 3.9% | 16% | 2.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 27 | 0 | Girona | 9 | 9-11 | 47% | 15% | 2.3% | 22% | 8% | 2.6% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 28 | 3 | Brugge | 9 | 10-14 | 48% | 16% | 2.6% | 17% | 3.9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 29 | 1 | Bologna | 9 | 8-12 | 45% | 15% | 2.5% | 20% | 6% | 2.0% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 30 | 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 7 | 10-23 | 18% | 3.1% | < 1% | 3.2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 31 | 1 | Shakhtar | 6 | 3-14 | 10% | 1.3% | < 1% | 1.6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 32 | 0 | Salzburg | 6 | 2-13 | 12% | 1.7% | < 1% | 3.4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 33 | 0 | Young Boys | 5 | 6-18 | 8% | 1.0% | < 1% | 1.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 34 | 0 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 6-14 | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 35 | 0 | Crvena Zvezda | 4 | 8-17 | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 36 | 0 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 6-24 | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | ||||
| Pts | GD | Pts | GD | Pts | GD | |
| 1% | 11 | 8-9 | 14 | 14-13 | 17 | 18-9 |
| 5% | 10 | 17-15 | 13 | 16-11 | 16 | 25-12 |
| 25% | 10 | 9-12 | 13 | 16-16 | 16 | 14-8 |
| 50% | 9 | 14-12 | 12 | 16-11 | 15 | 17-6 |
| 75% | 9 | 7-10 | 12 | 11-10 | 15 | 14-9 |
| 95% | 8 | 10-12 | 11 | 11-8 | 14 | 17-11 |
| 99% | 8 | 16-23 | 11 | 13-14 | 14 | 10-7 |
| Score | ||||
| Country | Probability | Average | Min | Max |
| ENG | 83% | 18.47 | 9.21 | 26.36 |
| POR | 30% | 15.34 | 6.6 | 28 |
| ITA | 29% | 15.51 | 8.06 | 23.5 |
| ESP | 27% | 15.27 | 6.86 | 25.67 |
| GER | 16% | 14.6 | 7.19 | 23.56 |
| BEL | 7% | 13.36 | 5.6 | 23.6 |
| CYP | 3.1% | 12.33 | 4.33 | 23.5 |
| CZE | 2.8% | 12.68 | 6.7 | 22.6 |
| GRE | 1.6% | 11.77 | 4.63 | 21.38 |
| TUR | < 1% | 11.6 | 4.9 | 20.9 |
| FRA | < 1% | 11.13 | 4.79 | 19.93 |
| UKR | < 1% | 7.78 | 2.5 | 24.75 |
| NED | < 1% | 9.46 | 4 | 19.25 |
| SWE | < 1% | 9.48 | 4.75 | 19.25 |
| NOR | < 1% | 9.35 | 4.38 | 16.88 |
| DEN | < 1% | 8.63 | 3.5 | 16 |
| AUT | < 1% | 7.57 | 2.8 | 17.75 |
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