CL: And so they were ten
CL: And so they were ten
Ten teams left in CL and the updated probabilities are displayed below. In the race for CL bonus slot, England increased their chances to 79% though Arsenal's win and qualifying for the quarterfinals. They are now down to six countries that have a theoretical chance, but the Spanish, Czech and French chances are very slim and probably requiring winning everything left to win.
Champions League
| Team | Quarter | Semifinal | Final | Champion |
| Man City | 100% | 71% | 50% | 32% |
| Real Madrid | 100% | 58% | 31% | 16% |
| Arsenal | 100% | 55% | 28% | 14% |
| Inter | 74% | 43% | 24% | 12% |
| Bayern | 100% | 50% | 23% | 10% |
| Paris SG | 100% | 42% | 17% | 7% |
| Barcelona | 100% | 38% | 13% | 4.9% |
| Dortmund | 65% | 22% | 7% | 2.5% |
| Atletico | 26% | 10% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| PSV | 35% | 11% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
Important factors
| Country | Probability | Average | Min | Max |
| ITA | 95.1% | 20.59 | 16.71 | 25.57 |
| ENG | 79% | 19.43 | 15.63 | 23.88 |
| GER | 24% | 18.11 | 15.64 | 22.64 |
| FRA | 1.6% | 16.41 | 14.08 | 20.58 |
| CZE | < 1% | 14.45 | 13.25 | 20.5 |
| ESP | < 1% | 15.53 | 14.19 | 19.31 |
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