Asian Cup: Qatar can clinch knockout stage
Asian Cup: Qatar can clinch knockout stage
Probabilities when all teams have played one match. Tonight Group goes into round 2 and Qatar can clinch knockout stage with a win and practically clinch with a draw against Tajikistan. Tajikistan practically clinch if they beat Qatar, just like China practically clinch a place in the knockout stage with a win against Lebanon. Lebanon are out if they lose and Qatar lose as well.
Team | Round of 16 | Quarterfinals | Semifinals | Final | Champion |
Japan | 99.89% | 87% | 72% | 54% | 37% |
Iran | 99.94% | 84% | 50% | 36% | 19% |
Australia | 99.53% | 81% | 59% | 29% | 16% |
South Korea | 99.72% | 70% | 39% | 26% | 13% |
Qatar | 99.19% | 68% | 35% | 12% | 3.9% |
Uzbekistan | 87% | 53% | 30% | 11% | 3.5% |
Iraq | 96.7% | 41% | 19% | 8% | 2.4% |
Saudi Arabia | 98.4% | 52% | 21% | 6% | 1.8% |
Oman | 83% | 32% | 15% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
United Arab Emirates | 95.1% | 53% | 14% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
Jordan | 97.0% | 38% | 12% | 2.9% | < 1% |
China | 68% | 25% | 6% | 1.3% | < 1% |
Syria | 65% | 18% | 6% | < 1% | < 1% |
Palestine | 67% | 24% | 5% | < 1% | < 1% |
Bahrain | 60% | 17% | 5% | < 1% | < 1% |
Thailand | 89% | 18% | 4.9% | < 1% | < 1% |
Tajikistan | 58% | 16% | 3.0% | < 1% | < 1% |
Vietnam | 46% | 9% | 2.3% | < 1% | < 1% |
Lebanon | 33% | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
India | 19% | 2.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Indonesia | 14% | 1.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Malaysia | 10% | 1.3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Kyrgyzstan | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Hong Kong | 4.7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Group A | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Qatar | 1 | +3 | 3 | < 1% | 6% | 14% | 79% | 99.19% |
Tajikistan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27% | 36% | 29% | 8% | 58% |
China | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19% | 32% | 38% | 12% | 68% |
Lebanon | 1 | -3 | 0 | 54% | 26% | 19% | 1.0% | 33% |
Qatar - Tajikistan | ||||||||
Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
100% | >99.99% | 95.0% | 94% | 92% | 91% | Chi - Leb | ||
100% | >99.99% | 98.8% | 98% | 95% | 93% | 99.73% | Home | |
100% | 100% | 93% | 92% | 91% | 90% | 98.9% | Draw | |
100% | 99.99% | 89% | 88% | 87% | 86% | 98.3% | Away |
Qatar - Tajikistan | |||||
Home | Draw | Away | |||
47% | 67% | 99.88% | Chi - Leb | ||
46% | 67% | 99.9% | 58% | Home | |
56% | 70% | 99.8% | 65% | 0-0 | |
46% | 69% | 99.8% | 59% | 1-1 | |
46% | 69% | 99.7% | 58% | 2-2 | |
46% | 69% | 99.9% | 58% | 3-3 | |
46% | 65% | 99.9% | 58% | Away |
China - Lebanon | |||||
Home | Draw | Away | |||
99.84% | 45% | 21% | Qat - Taj | ||
99.88% | 47% | 21% | 69% | Home | |
99.8% | 44% | 20% | 68% | Draw | |
99.7% | 37% | 20% | 66% | Away |
China - Lebanon | ||||||||||||
+4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-2 | -1 | -2 | -3 | |||
7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 33% | 39% | 39% | 70% | 76% | 82% | Qat - Taj | ||
8% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 34% | 43% | 43% | 70% | 76% | 82% | 35% | Home | |
8% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 31% | 31% | 32% | 70% | 76% | 82% | 33% | Draw | |
< 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 30% | 31% | 31% | 69% | 76% | 83% | 24% | Away |
Group B | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Australia | 1 | +2 | 3 | < 1% | 6% | 20% | 74% | 99.53% |
Uzbekistan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7% | 25% | 49% | 20% | 87% |
Syria | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21% | 49% | 25% | 6% | 65% |
India | 1 | -2 | 0 | 72% | 21% | 7% | < 1% | 19% |
Group C | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Iran | 1 | +3 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | 12% | 88% | 99.94% |
United Arab Emirates | 1 | +2 | 3 | < 1% | 27% | 61% | 11% | 95.1% |
Hong Kong | 1 | -2 | 0 | 88% | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | 4.7% |
Palestine | 1 | -3 | 0 | 12% | 61% | 27% | < 1% | 67% |
Group D | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Japan | 1 | +2 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | 16% | 83% | 99.89% |
Iraq | 1 | +2 | 3 | < 1% | 16% | 68% | 16% | 96.7% |
Vietnam | 1 | -2 | 0 | 29% | 55% | 16% | < 1% | 46% |
Indonesia | 1 | -2 | 0 | 71% | 28% | 1.1% | < 1% | 14% |
Group E | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Jordan | 1 | +4 | 3 | 1.0% | 24% | 58% | 17% | 97.0% |
South Korea | 1 | +2 | 3 | < 1% | 1.1% | 17% | 81% | 99.72% |
Bahrain | 1 | -2 | 0 | 20% | 55% | 24% | 1.1% | 60% |
Malaysia | 1 | -4 | 0 | 78% | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | 10% |
Group F | Probabilities | |||||||
Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
Thailand | 1 | +2 | 3 | 2.6% | 51% | 30% | 16% | 89% |
Saudi Arabia | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1.5% | 5% | 19% | 75% | 98.4% |
Oman | 1 | -1 | 0 | 10% | 32% | 50% | 8% | 83% |
Kyrgyzstan | 1 | -2 | 0 | 86% | 11% | 1.8% | < 1% | 10% |
Last 16 | Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | ||||
China (38%) Tajikistan (29%) Lebanon (19%) | ||||||||
United Arab Emirates (38%) China (16%) Palestine (13%) Iran (10%) | ||||||||
United Arab Emirates (61%) Palestine (27%) | ||||||||
Japan (65%) United Arab Emirates (8%) | ||||||||
Japan (83%) | ||||||||
Japan (75%) Iraq (11%) | ||||||||
Thailand (31%) Bahrain (19%) Oman (19%) Jordan (12%) | ||||||||
Japan (48%) Australia (22%) Saudi Arabia (5%) | ||||||||
Australia (74%) Uzbekistan (20%) | ||||||||
Australia (63%) Uzbekistan (15%) Vietnam (4%) | ||||||||
Vietnam (22%) Tajikistan (17%) China (15%) Lebanon (11%) Indonesia (10%) | ||||||||
Australia (46%) Saudi Arabia (16%) Uzbekistan (9%) | ||||||||
Saudi Arabia (75%) Thailand (16%) | ||||||||
Saudi Arabia (42%) Jordan (26%) South Korea (13%) | ||||||||
Jordan (58%) Bahrain (24%) South Korea (17%) | ||||||||
Japan (37%) Iran (19%) Australia (16%) South Korea (13%) | ||||||||
Iran (88%) | ||||||||
Iran (74%) United Arab Emirates (7%) | ||||||||
Syria (33%) Uzbekistan (17%) India (11%) Thailand (11%) | ||||||||
Iran (44%) South Korea (30%) Iraq (9%) | ||||||||
South Korea (81%) Jordan (17%) | ||||||||
South Korea (56%) Iraq (24%) Japan (11%) | ||||||||
Iraq (68%) Japan (16%) | ||||||||
Iran (33%) South Korea (22%) Qatar (11%) Uzbekistan (8%) | ||||||||
Qatar (79%) China (12%) | ||||||||
Qatar (57%) Palestine (10%) United Arab Emirates (8%) | ||||||||
Palestine (33%) United Arab Emirates (18%) Bahrain (15%) Jordan (10%) | ||||||||
Qatar (31%) Uzbekistan (19%) Australia (12%) Oman (11%) | ||||||||
Uzbekistan (49%) Syria (25%) Australia (20%) | ||||||||
Uzbekistan (32%) Oman (23%) Australia (16%) Syria (10%) | ||||||||
Oman (50%) Thailand (30%) Saudi Arabia (19%) |
Pts | GD | Probability | Last 16 | Chance |
4 | - | 29% | 29% | 99.35% |
3 | 0 | 7% | 6% | 93% |
3 | 5-7 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 78% |
3 | 4-6 | 3.0% | 2.3% | 75% |
3 | 3-5 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 71% |
3 | 5-8 | 1.6% | < 1% | 63% |
3 | 4-7 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 60% |
3 | 3-6 | 2.6% | 1.4% | 55% |
3 | 2-5 | 1.4% | < 1% | 52% |
3 | 4-8 | 1.6% | < 1% | 45% |
3 | 3-7 | 1.8% | < 1% | 42% |
3 | -5 | 3.6% | 1.2% | 33% |
3 | -6 | 1.9% | < 1% | 27% |
2 | -1 | 3.7% | < 1% | 16% |
2 | -2 | 4.4% | < 1% | 10% |
Group F | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
GD | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 0 | - | ||
3rd | 100% | < 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 31% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 81% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 31% | |
Thailand | 3rd | 51% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 5% | 17% |
3rd & Last 16 | 43% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 4% | 17% | |
Saudi Arabia | 3rd | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% |
3rd & Last 16 | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | |
Oman | 3rd | 32% | < 1% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 9% |
3rd & Last 16 | 26% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 9% | |
Kyrgyzstan | 3rd | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% |
3rd & Last 16 | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | |
Group B | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
GD | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 0 | - | ||
3rd | 100% | 7% | 8% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 7% | 49% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 70% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 6% | 48% | |
Australia | 3rd | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% |
3rd & Last 16 | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | |
Uzbekistan | 3rd | 25% | 2% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 14% |
3rd & Last 16 | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 14% | |
Syria | 3rd | 49% | 4% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 30% |
3rd & Last 16 | 35% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 30% | |
India | 3rd | 21% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Group C | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
GD | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 0 | - | ||
3rd | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | < 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 22% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 66% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 22% | |
Iran | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
United Arab Emirates | 3rd | 27% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 9% |
3rd & Last 16 | 22% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 9% | |
Hong Kong | 3rd | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Palestine | 3rd | 61% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 12% |
3rd & Last 16 | 40% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 12% | |
Group E | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
GD | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 0 | - | ||
3rd | 100% | 5% | < 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 21% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 66% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 21% | |
Jordan | 3rd | 24% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 6% |
3rd & Last 16 | 22% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 6% | |
South Korea | 3rd | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Bahrain | 3rd | 55% | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 12% |
3rd & Last 16 | 35% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 12% | |
Malaysia | 3rd | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% |
3rd & Last 16 | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | |
Group A | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
GD | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 0 | - | ||
3rd | 100% | 8% | 11% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 8% | 36% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 59% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 8% | 35% | |
Qatar | 3rd | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% |
3rd & Last 16 | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | |
Tajikistan | 3rd | 36% | 4% | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 16% |
3rd & Last 16 | 21% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 16% | |
China | 3rd | 32% | 4% | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 13% |
3rd & Last 16 | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 13% | |
Lebanon | 3rd | 26% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% |
3rd & Last 16 | 14% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | |
Group D | point | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||
GD | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 0 | - | ||
3rd | 100% | 5% | < 1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | < 1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 15% | |
3rd & Last 16 | 57% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 15% | |
Japan | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
3rd & Last 16 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Iraq | 3rd | 16% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 6% |
3rd & Last 16 | 13% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 6% | |
Vietnam | 3rd | 55% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
3rd & Last 16 | 31% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 7% | |
Indonesia | 3rd | 28% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% |
3rd & Last 16 | 13% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% |
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