AO: Probabilities Last 12
AO: Probabilities Last 12
| Name | QF | Semi | Final | Champ |
| N Djokovic | 100% (+5.1) | 80% (+4.7) | 59% (+2.1) | 36% (+1.3) |
| C Alcaraz | 95.2% | 81% | 55% | 31% (-0.6) |
| D Medvedev | 94% | 71% | 33% | 15% (-0.4) |
| J Sinner | 100% (+13.3) | 66% (+7.5) | 25% (+1.9) | 11% (+0.8) |
| T Fritz | 100% (+51.8) | 20% (+8.7) | 8% (+3.3) | 2.4% (+1) |
| A Rublev | 100% (+46.2) | 34% (+12.4) | 8% (+2.7) | 2.3% (+0.8) |
| H Hurkacz | 91% | 27% | 7% | 1.6% (-0.1) |
| A Zverev | 62% | 13% | 4.2% | < 1% |
| C Norrie | 38% | 5% | 1.2% | < 1% |
| M Kecmanovic | 4.8% | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% |
| N Borges | 6% | 1.4% | < 1% | < 1% |
| A Cazaux | 9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | |||
N Djokovic (100%) | ||||||
N Djokovic (80%) T Fritz (20%) | ||||||
T Fritz (100%) | ||||||
N Djokovic (59%) J Sinner (25%) A Rublev (8%) | ||||||
J Sinner (100%) | ||||||
J Sinner (66%) A Rublev (34%) | ||||||
A Rublev (100%) | ||||||
N Djokovic (36%) C Alcaraz (31%) D Medvedev (15%) | ||||||
H Hurkacz (91%) | ||||||
D Medvedev (71%) H Hurkacz (27%) | ||||||
D Medvedev (94%) | ||||||
C Alcaraz (55%) D Medvedev (33%) | ||||||
A Zverev (62%) C Norrie (38%) | ||||||
C Alcaraz (81%) A Zverev (13%) | ||||||
C Alcaraz (95%) |
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